Grave by grave, police and war crimes investigators comb a Ukrainian forest

Los Angeles Times

Grave by grave, police and war crimes investigators comb a Ukrainian forest

Laura King – May 4, 2022

EDITORS NOTE: Graphic content / A dead body lies on the ground in a street in Bucha, northwest of Kyiv, as Ukraine says Russian forces are making a "rapid retreat" from northern areas around Kyiv and the city of Chernigiv, on April 2, 2022. - The bodies of at least 20 men in civilian clothes were found lying in a single street Saturday after Ukrainian forces retook the town of Bucha near Kyiv from Russian troops, AFP journalists said. Russian forces withdrew from several towns near Kyiv in recent days after Moscow's bid to encircle the capital failed, with Ukraine declaring that Bucha had been "liberated". (Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT / AFP) (Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)
One of at least 20 bodies reportedly found Saturday on a street in Bucha, near Kyiv, weeks after the Ukrainian army retook it from Russian forces. (Ronaldo Schemidt / AFP/Getty Images)

The Russian troops left weeks ago. But the little forest that lies between this Ukrainian village and a neighboring hamlet keeps yielding bodies, one by one.

The latest was a man with holes in his socks.

On a spring day of fitfully alternating clouds and sunshine, tattered red-and-white police tape marked off the shallow depression into which the body had been dumped and covered with a thin layer of dirt.

A villager stumbled onto it late Tuesday, and by the next morning, after de-miners had swept the area for explosives, black-clad police in white gloves were crouched at the graveside, brushing aside clumps of soil.

In this patch of woods, less than a 40-minute drive from the capital, Kyiv, five bodies have been unearthed in recent weeks, scattered amid what were once Russian fortifications. All were shot. Some bore obvious signs of torture.

For a tiny farming community such as this one, each such discovery is a fresh wound — but at the same time a potential source of relief.

A weathered-looking woman named Alyona, whose brother went missing March 4, was summoned by police to this grove of trees a few dozen feet from the side of a narrow road. They inquired, gently, if this body might be his.

It was not.

“I have to go and do this quite often,” she said quietly. “Every time they find another one.”

When the Russians first arrived, Alyona recounted, her brother and a friend got in the car, intending to go and talk to them about how villagers would be treated. At the time it didn’t seem like a foolhardy thing to do.

She hasn’t seen her brother since.

Before hurrying away without giving her last name, she explained his thinking: “He was under the impression that in the 21st century, these soldiers wouldn’t touch civilians.”

Very quickly, villagers learned otherwise.

Their district, Bucha, with a main city by the same name, is now a bleak watchword for suspected atrocities against civilians in Russian-occupied areas: torture, rape, execution-style killings.

Much of the evidence was unearthed — literally — weeks after the fact, as bodies were discovered in cellars and shallow graves once the occupiers had departed. Other corpses were left in the open, scattered willy-nilly in streets and gardens.

International forensic specialists have joined local police in investigating more than 9,000 potential war crimes, Ukraine’s prosecutor-general, Iryna Venediktova, said this week. Since early April, when the Russians abandoned their threatened attack on Kyiv, at least 1,200 civilian deaths have been confirmed in the capital region from the occupation.

Like ripples radiating from a stone tossed in a pond, the killings were concentrated in the more densely populated areas, but also occurred in outlying hamlets such as Vysehrad, little more than a cluster of simple wood or brick structures and farm fields.

The body of a civilian lies in an apartment as Russian bombardments continue
The body of a civilian lies in an apartment as Russian bombardments continue in a village recently retaken by Ukrainian forces near Kharkiv, Ukraine, on April 30. (Felipe Dana / Associated Press)

Police knew nothing yet of the man whose remains they were unearthing on Wednesday, save that he was thought to be a “local citizen,” said Oleksandr Omelyanenko, the Bucha district police chief.

A few feet away, the newly uncovered corpse lay on its back. The arms were outstretched in a V-shape, a ruched-up black sweater covering the head and part of the torso. Dark trousers bore red racing stripes on the sides. The feet were shoeless, with socks in need of darning.

One black-clad officer crouched near the head of the grave, delicately prising a green-tinted hand free from the dirt, while a colleague stood by, holding a clipboard, making careful notes.

This day was only the beginning of what would be a lengthy and involved forensic process, during which a cause of death would be formally determined. Authorities were hoping that friends or relatives of missing people, who regularly check the district’s morgue, would be able to provide identification.

In this scatter of towns and villages less than an hour’s drive from the capital, cleanup and reconstruction are already proceeding briskly. Well-marked detours route traffic around smashed bridges. Rubble is neatly swept into piles.

In Makariv, the township that encompasses Vysehrad, police set up shop in an outbuilding attached to a small market, after their headquarters across the street were blackened and hollowed by a missile strike.

People stand looking over bodies on the ground
The bodies of six people in a mass grave and three others a few yards away were uncovered in the town of Borodyanka on April 20. Ukrainian criminal police investigators documented the evidence of war crimes before putting the bodies into body bags. (Carolyn Cole / Los Angeles Times)

The damage to communities, though, is not only physical. In the Bucha area, police are investigating about a dozen cases of suspected collaboration, responding to reports that some locals provided aid and assistance to those same Russians who were harming and killing their neighbors.

Meanwhile, the task of exhumation, at once brutal and banal, will probably continue for weeks, months, even years. Omelyanenko said his officers’ daily work would help determine how these civilians died, but do little to answer the more enduring question of why.

“That I don’t know,” he said, glancing toward that day’s forest grave. “How can I answer this?”

Ukraine is asking Biden admin for anti-ship missiles, drones and rocket launchers, says congressman

NBC News

Ukraine is asking Biden admin for anti-ship missiles, drones and rocket launchers, says congressman

Dan De Luce – May 4, 2022

Ukraine is asking the Biden administration for anti-ship missiles to secure ports that have been blocked by Russia’s navy, as well as more capable drones and multiple rocket launcher systems that can strike Russian forces at a longer distance, according to Rep. Jason Crow, D-Colo.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy conveyed the request to Crow and other lawmakers who visited Kyiv over the weekend, who then relayed the wish list to President Joe Biden directly, Crow told NBC News.

Ukraine said it needed U.S.-made Harpoon anti-ship missiles or similar weapons to free up the use of the Black Sea port of Odesa and other ports for the export of millions of tons of grain and food. The ports are under a de facto naval blockade by Russian forces off the coast, Crow said.

“They need ground-based anti-ship missiles, the Harpoon or something like it, because one of the biggest challenges they face right now is getting their food exported,” Crow said. “They’re sitting on 12 million tons of foodstuff, wheat grains, sunflower oil, and this food needs to get out both for the Ukrainian economy but also to prevent famine and starvation in Africa and the Middle East, in particular. If it doesn’t get out in the next couple months, it will go bad. We’ll see hunger spike throughout the world.”

Ukraine has mined the waters off its ports to prevent a Russian amphibious invasion, but anti-ship missiles could allow government forces to open a corridor to move ships out of the ports, he said.

Crow later made similar comments to a group of reporters.

Ukraine is also appealing to the U.S. for longer-range drones that can be flown repeatedly in addition to the smaller, one-off “kamikaze” drones that Washington has provided so far, Crow said.

“They need long-range drones that could have much longer ranges and that are re-armable, so not just the kamikaze drones, but things like we have in our U.S. inventory that can go out, strike very long distances and come back to be re-armed with precision munitions,” he said.

Nancy Pelosi Meets In Kyiv With Ukrainian President Zelensky (Ukrainian Presidential Press Office / Getty Images)
Nancy Pelosi Meets In Kyiv With Ukrainian President Zelensky (Ukrainian Presidential Press Office / Getty Images)

In addition, Crow said, Zelenskyy told the congressional delegation his government is asking for multiple-launch rocket systems, particularly the U.S.-made system known as HIMARS. With ranges of more than 100 kilometers, the rocket systems would be “decisive,” as they would enable the Ukrainian military to strike at Russian forces at a longer distance than artillery, a capability urgently needed for fighting in the flat, open terrain in the country’s east and south.

“They need things that can reach out 100-plus kilometers. Artillery can’t go that far. Artillery can go half that distance at best or a third of that. The rocket launches can reach much further and be devastating to enemy units,” Crow said.

Asked if the administration was ready to provide the weapons requested, a State Department spokesperson said, “We have no details to share on this report, but as demonstrated in recent weeks, we are committed to helping Ukraine to defend itself, strengthen Ukraine’s hands on the battlefield and at the negotiating table and bring an end to this war with military assistance, humanitarian aid, and economic support. “

The United States has announced $3.7 billion in military aid for Ukraine since Russia launched its invasion in February.

“Deliveries of our security assistance are occurring daily and at incredible speed. We are the world’s leading provider of security assistance to Ukraine in its hour of need, and we are encouraging allies and partners worldwide to do the same,” the spokesperson added.

Crow said U.S. artillery officers told him Ukrainian forces could be trained quickly in the rocket systems outside the country, with about two weeks of instruction.

The Biden administration has previously said the Harpoon anti-ship missiles are not a good fit for the Ukrainian navy and that Ukrainian ships would not be able to accommodate the Harpoons. But Crow said they could be based on land, and he added that Ukraine has proved capable of handling advanced weapons and fighting with ingenuity.

“I mean these are people fighting for their survival, and every day counts. So why would they ask for something that they’re not going to be able to use?” Crow said.

”I think it’s also fair to say the world has consistently underestimated the Ukrainians and their ability to be innovative, creative, and to make things happen. So I take them at their word when they say they need something that they need it, and we should get it there,” he said.

The U.K. has already announced it will provide Ukraine with anti-ship missiles.

Crow, who serves on the Armed Services and Intelligence committees, said the delegation spent four hours with Zelenskyy and that he had a detailed conversation with Zelenskyy about the military situation and the weapons Kyiv needs.

“I personally talked to him for a very long time about what equipment they need, where the equipment is going, the state of their military units, where the offenses are going to be, how they’re going to handle it.” Crow said.

Shocking video shows Ukrainian drone destroying 2 Russian patrol boats

Business Insider

Shocking video shows Ukrainian drone destroying 2 Russian patrol boats

Julie Coleman – May 4, 2022

A B model of Bayraktar AKINCI TİHA (Assault Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) in the sky on March 2, 2022 in Corlu, Turkey.
A B model of Bayraktar AKINCI TİHA (Assault Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) in the sky on March 2, 2022 in Corlu, Turkey.Baykar Press Office/dia images via Getty Images
  • The 17-second video shows the moment drones hit two Russian Raptor fast-attack craft.
  • The Russian patrol boats were destroyed in the Black Sea near Snake Island, a strategic and symbolic location for Ukraine.
  • The drone used to sink the Russian ships is known as Bayraktar TB2, built by Turkey.

Ukraine said on Monday its drones sank two Russian ships in the Black Sea near Snake Island, which the Russians had captured the day the war broke out on February 24.

“Two Russian Raptor boats were destroyed at daybreak today near Snake Island,” Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi wrote on social media platforms.

“#bayraktar is doing its job,” he continued, referring to the Turkish unmanned combat aerial vehicle known as the Bayraktar TB2, that reportedly helped sink the two Russian Raptor fast-attack craft. Along with the message, Zaluzhnyi posted a 17-second video that allegedly shows the moment the drones hit the Russian raptors at 4:51 am local time.

Russia made no comment on Ukraine’s claim, the Wall Street Journal reported, but said it destroyed three Bayraktar drones without providing any evidence.

Raptor-class boats are 55-foot-long vessels armed with machine guns that are used for patrol missions, with a crew of three and space to ferry up to 20 troops.

Although it is small – only 42 acres – Snake Island is strategically important because it sits at the edge of Ukraine’s territorial waters in the Black Sea. A report last year from non-partisan think tank the Atlantic Council called Snake Island the “key to Ukraine’s maritime territorial claims” in the Black Sea.

Snake Island has also become a legendary symbol of resistance for Ukraine, as military defending the island refused to surrender to Russian forces on February 24, radioing “Russian warship go screw yourself,” when the Russian flagship cruiser Moskva approached.

The patrol boat losses add to the mounting toll for the Russian Navy. In April, the Moskva sank after being hit with at least one Neptune anti-sink missile, the Pentagon confirmed.

Russia’s Oil Output Is Plummeting, And It May Never Recover

Oil Price.com

Russia’s Oil Output Is Plummeting, And It May Never Recover

Editor OilPrice.com – May 4, 2022

Russian oil production is falling. In March, it shed half a million bpd, which by the end of April reached a full 1 million bpd, according to BP’s CEO, Bernard Looney. And this may well grow to 2 million bpd this month. These barrels may not be returning to the market any time soon.

As the European Union targeted a barrage of sanctions on Moscow, oil was excluded as a direct target but financial and maritime sanctions affected the industry. Now, the EU is proposing a full oil embargo, save for a handful of member states too dependent on Russian oil to comply, and this will mean a further loss of barrels at a time when the global oil market is already stretched thin.

“We could potentially see the loss of more than 7 million barrels per day (bpd) of Russian oil and other liquids exports, resulting from current and future sanctions or other voluntary actions,” the secretary-general of OPEC, Mohammed Barkindo, told the European Union last month.

This does not appear to have made any lasting impression on the decision-makers in Brussels, who are moving full steam ahead with the oil embargo. Meanwhile, alternative suppliers would struggle to fill the void left by Russian oil.

Russia expects it could lose some 17% of its pre-war oil production this year, Reuters reported last month, citing a document from the country’s economy ministry. The report noted this would be the biggest production drop since the 1990s—a tumultuous time for Russia following the breakup of the Soviet Union.

That would be close to 2 million bpd—a figure similar to Looney’s forecast and also to a forecast made by Rystad Energy about lost Russian oil production between 2021 and 2030. If the Rystad projections are right, the fallout from the EU oil embargo would be limited and most Russian production will simply be redirected as it already is. If, however, production declines more, this could see international prices spike much higher.

When European buyers started refusing to accept Russian oil cargoes, those cargoes had to return home to be stored somewhere. According to local reports, however, storage space is limited, and this has probably forced the idling of some wells, which if idled, can see their ability to produce in the future affected.

Related: Upstream Oil Industry To See Highest Profits Ever In 2022

But there is also danger ahead for Russia’s future production. This may also not materialize as previously planned because of the exit of Big Oil majors from the country, Dan Dicker, host of The Energy Word, told Yahoo Finance earlier this week. Their exit, combined with financial sanctions on Russian banks, will make developing new resources in eastern Siberia more challenging.

Meanwhile, OPEC is producing less, rather than more, oil, and U.S. producers are under fire from legislators for alleged profiteering from the oil price rally and struggling with shortages of materials, equipment, and workforce.

U.S. oil production will rise by only 800,000 bpd this year, according to the Energy Information Administration’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook. That’s not good news for America’s European partners. It’s not good news for Americans, either, because it means prices will likely remain high.

Except for OPEC and the United States, there are few producers large enough to spare oil for Europe, if any. Brazil is expanding its oil production but its total stands at around 3 million bpd, which is what the EU was importing from Russia before the war in Ukraine began. That leaves the Central Asian producers, who are parties to the OPEC+ agreement and firmly within the Russian sphere of influence, too.

What all this means is that with the loss of 2 million bpd of Russian production, a lot of the world is in for prolonged oil price pain, which means all-price pain as well. The beneficiaries are China and India, who are buying Russian crude at a discount, with no logical reason for them to stop, despite threats from Washington. But Russia’s oil production could still fall by more than 2 million bpd.

“Europe’s dependence on Russian energy has been a deliberate and decades-long and mutually beneficial relationship. In this early phase of sanctions and embargoes, Russia will benefit as higher prices mean tax revenues are significantly higher than in recent years,” said Daria Melnik, senior analyst at Rystad Energy.

“Pivoting exports to Asia will take time and massive infrastructure investments that in the medium term will see Russia’s production and revenues drop precipitously,” she added.

With most producers constrained in their capacity to boost production fast, should this scenario play out, oil could become a lot more expensive with little in the way of downside pressure, including electric vehicles. Electric vehicles are about to experience a shortage of batteries and still higher prices. There are some really interesting times ahead.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

Mariupol evacuee fears for families still trapped under steel works

Reuters

Mariupol evacuee fears for families still trapped under steel works

Alessandra Prentice and Joseph Campbell – May 4, 2022

  • Tetyana Trotsak walks with her dog in front a hotel used as temporary shelter in ZaporizhzhiaTetyana Trotsak walks with her dog in front a hotel used as temporary shelter in Zaporizhzhia

ZAPORIZHZHIA, Ukraine (Reuters) – After two months in a bunker, Mariupol evacuee Tetyana Trotsak is feeling the sun on her face and staring up at the bright blue sky on her first day of freedom.

But she can’t forget the 42 people she believes are still stuck in a shelter they shared under Ukraine’s besieged Azovstal steel works.

The 25-year-old, her husband and parents were among the dozens of civilians who reached the Ukraine-controlled town of Zaporizhzhia on Tuesday after being evacuated from the plant in Russian-occupied Mariupol where other civilians and the city’s last defenders remain under siege.

Holding her lapdog Daisy to her chest, Trotsak looked around at the quiet street with wonder.

“To escape and be beneath the peaceful sky, look at it – blue and the bright sun. I think we’re all getting badly sunburnt because we got so little vitamin D,” she said on Wednesday after her first night above ground since early March.

“But I’m terribly worried about the civilians and wounded soldiers that are still there.”

Of the 56 people, including children, in their bunker, Trotsak knows of only 14 who were able to evacuate so far.

City authorities say around 200 civilians and more than 30 children are still trapped at the steel plant, whose vast network of underground bunkers has suffered repeated bombardment from encircling Russian troops.

LIFE UNDERGROUND

Trotsak, who works at a local power company, said her family decided to take refuge at Azovstal after a shell landed near their home, blew open the doors, and “made everything shake like jelly.”

They grabbed a few belongings and some bedding and moved into one of the plant’s shelters, pooling food with other families and making makeshift beds out of bits of wood. The cold, damp conditions made everything mouldy, she said.

As the weeks went by in March and sounds of fighting and explosions appeared to come closer, the group started losing hope they would soon be able to return to their homes.

“When the heavy shelling started and powerful strikes started landing near our shelter, we could feel the shaking just by sitting on the bed,” Trotsak said, recalling frantic efforts to find a way to light the pitch-black bunker after the attacks cut off power supplies.

Talking about their ordeal, she remained calm, tearing up only when she described how her family had to ask a Ukrainian soldier to kill their older dog Jerry, who was blind and suffering in the cramped shelter.

The soldier took the dog away and came back crying, Trotsak said.

A radio was their only connection to the outside world and in April they heard reports of international efforts to help trapped civilians in Mariupol. “This gave us more strength, it felt as if … we might get out and it would all be over,” she said.

But when the evacuation day arrived, there were not enough spaces for everyone. Trotsak’s family were encouraged to go in the first wave because her mother has asthma, she said.

“Go ahead, get to Zaporizhzhia and grab a table at a cafe and … we’ll join you for a pizza,” she recalled one of the people saying who remained behind.

“Of course it was terribly uncomfortable for us that we went first.”

The group picked their way through the rubble around the plant, escorted by three Ukrainian soldiers. There was so much debris that the walk to the waiting buses, which should have taken 15 minutes, took two and half hours.

“Walking past the plant the day before yesterday, we saw that everything was ablaze in black smoke,” she said. “God forbid more shells hit near the bunkers where the civilians are.”

The port city, which before the war had 400,000 inhabitants, has seen the heaviest fighting so far of the conflict, which Moscow calls a “special military operation” to disarm Ukraine and defend its Russian-speaking population from fascists.

Kyiv and its Western supporters say Moscow’s fascism claim is a baseless pretext for an unprovoked war of aggression that has driven more than five million Ukrainians to flee abroad.

Trotsak and her family are staying at a hotel that has been commandeered to house evacuees, but Trotsak does not want to stay long and take up space for the many Mariupol evacuees she hopes will soon arrive in the relative safety of Zaporizhzhia.

“It’s peaceful, no sounds of explosions thank god. And I hope there never will be here any kind of booms here, just fireworks and thunder.”

(Editing by Alexandra Hudson)

Two women killed by Russian bombs as massive assault on Azovstal continues

Ukrayinska Pravda

Two women killed by Russian bombs as massive assault on Azovstal continues

Valentyna Romanenko, Iryna Balachuk – May 3, 2022

ukrpravda@gmail.com (Ukrayinska Pravda) – May 3, 2022

Two women were killed and around ten people were injured in a massive aerial bombardment of the Azovstal steelworks by Russian occupation forces. As of 4:15 pm, the fierce assault on the plant continues. Source: Azov Regiment Details: In a video released on 3 May by the plant’s defenders, a man describes the effects of the Russian bombardment and says that the bodies of two women have been recovered from under the rubble.

The Azov Regiment has promised to help with excavations, as there may be more people under the rubble. Quote: “We are urgently calling for the swift imposition of a ceasefire and an extension of the evacuation of civilians to safe Ukrainian-controlled territories.” At 4:15 pm, Deputy Commander of the Azov Regiment Sviatoslav “Kalyna” Palamar reported that the assault on the plant was continuing and the defenders were doing everything they could to repel it.

Quote from Palamar: “As of this minute, a massive assault on the Azovstal plant is underway, supported by armoured vehicles and tanks, with attempts to land using boats and a large number of infantry. We will do all we can to repel this assault, but we are calling for immediate action to evacuate civilians.”

Background: On the afternoon of 3 May, Russian invaders launched an assault on the Azovstal steelworks, which is being defended by the Ukrainian Defence Forces in besieged Mariupol.

U.S. relieved as China appears to heed warnings on Russia

Reuters

U.S. relieved as China appears to heed warnings on Russia

Steve Holland, Trevor Hunnicutt and David Brunnstrom

May 3, 2022

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Two months after warning that Beijing appeared poised to help Russia in its fight against Ukraine, senior U.S. officials say they have not detected overt Chinese military and economic support, a welcome development in the tense U.S.-China relationship.

U.S. officials told Reuters in recent days they remain wary about China’s long-standing support for Russia in general, but that the military and economic support that they worried about has not come to pass, at least for now. The relief comes at a pivotal time.

President Joe Biden is preparing for a trip to Asia later this month dominated by how to deal with the rise of China and his administration is soon to release his first national security strategy about the emergence of China as a great power.

“We have not seen the PRC provide direct military support to Russia’s war on Ukraine or engage in systematic efforts to help Russia evade our sanctions,” a Biden administration official told Reuters, referring to the People’s Republic of China.

“We continue to monitor for the PRC and any other country that might provide support to Russia or otherwise evade U.S. and partner sanctions.”

As well as steering clear of directly backing Russia’s war effort, China has avoided entering new contracts between its state oil refiners and Russia, despite steep discounts. In March its state-run Sinopec Group suspended talks about a major petrochemical investment and a gas marketing venture in Russia.

Last month, the U.S. envoy to the United Nations hailed China’s abstentions on U.N. votes to condemn Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a “win,” underscoring how Beijing’s enforced balancing act between Russia and the West may be the best outcome for Washington.

Still, China has refused to condemn Russia’s actions in Ukraine and has criticized the sweeping Western sanctions on Moscow.

Trade volume between Russia and China also jumped in the first quarter, and the two declared a “no limits” partnership in February.

On Monday, Beijing’s Washington embassy issued a 30-page newsletter accusing the United States of spreading “falsehoods” to discredit China over Ukraine, including through a March press leak saying Russia had sought Chinese military help. The embassy noted that U.S. officials had since said they had seen no evidence of China providing such support.

Biden himself has not spoken of China helping Russia since telling reporters in Brussels March 24 that in a phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping, he “made sure he understood the consequences.”

Secretary of State Antony Blinken told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee last week China is dealing with the “significant reputational risk” of being Russia’s ally and that “for now we’re not seeing significant support from China for Russia’s military actions.”

Biden is to visit Tokyo and Seoul in what will be his first trip to Asia as president – one that won’t include a stop in China. He’ll meet with Indian and Australian leaders too, during a ‘Quad’ meeting in Tokyo.

China has made Russia a key part of its foreign policy strategy to counter the West. Biden aides were worried Xi was planning to provide direct support to Russian President Vladimir Putin as his campaign in Ukraine faced fierce setbacks, one U.S. official said.

They were heartened this has not happened so far, but Washington and its allies are continuing to closely monitor the level of assistance, the official said.

Bonnie Glaser, an Asia expert at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, said stark warnings by the U.S. and European Union have paid off so far.

“There has been consistent messaging that if China does so it will face severe consequences. It appears that so far, the Chinese have not. It is feasible that the Chinese planned to provide military assistance and changed their minds,” she said.

However U.S. officials remain concerned about China’s refusal to condemn Russia’s actions in Ukraine and what they say is its continued parroting of Russian disinformation.

Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman said on April 21 that Beijing had “repeatedly drawn false equivalencies between Russia’s war of aggression and Ukraine’s self-defensive actions.”

She added: “Let’s be clear, China’s already doing things that do not help this situation.”

(Reporting By Steve Holland, David Brunnstrom and Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Heather Timmons, Richard Pullin, William Maclean)

Russian military is now storming Mariupol steel factory, Ukrainian forces say

Fox News

Russian military is now storming Mariupol steel factory, Ukrainian forces say

Greg Norman – May 3, 2022

Ukrainian forces at the Azovstal steel factory in Mariupol said Tuesday that Russia’s military is now storming the complex.

The move comes almost two weeks after Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his military not to storm the plant, but rather block off the last pocket of resistance in the besieged Ukrainian city.

Asked about reports in Ukrainian media that the plant was being bombarded, Sviatoslav Palamar, the deputy commander of the Azov Regiment that is holed up there, said “it is true.”

Vadim Astafyev, a Russian Defense Ministry spokesman, said Tuesday that Ukrainian fighters holed up at the plant “came out of the basements, took up firing positions on the territory and in the buildings of the plant.” Astafyev said Russian forces along with rebel forces from Donetsk were using “artillery and aircraft… to destroy these firing positions.”-

Mariupol Mayor Vadym Boychenko said earlier Tuesday that more than 200 civilians are still at the Azovstal factory following United Nations-assisted evacuation efforts there in recent days, according to Reuters.

Mariupol patrol police chief Mykhailo Vershinin also was quoted by Ukrainian television on Tuesday as saying that the Russian military “have started to storm the plant in several places.”

Denys Shlega, a commander of a brigade of Ukraine’s National Guard at Azovstal, said “the enemy is trying to storm the Azovstal plant with significant forces using armored vehicles.”

In a statement Tuesday, the U.N. said “101 civilians have successfully been evacuated from the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol and other areas in a safe passage operation coordinated by the United Nations and the International Committee of the Red Cross.”

“Thanks to the operation, 101 women, men, children, and older persons could finally leave the bunkers below the Azovstal steelworks and see the daylight after two months,” said Osnat Lubrani, the U.N. Resident & Humanitarian Coordinator for Ukraine. “Another 58 people joined us in Manhush, a town on the outskirts of Mariupol.

“We have accompanied 127 people today to Zaporizhzhia, about [143 miles] northwest of Mariupol, where they are receiving initial humanitarian assistance, including health and psychological care, from UN agencies, ICRC and our humanitarian partners,” she added. “Some evacuees decided not to proceed towards Zaporizhzhia with the convoy.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Ukraine invasion made Russia’s military ‘significantly weaker’ despite its defense budget doubling in the past 20 years, UK says

Business Insider

Ukraine invasion made Russia’s military ‘significantly weaker’ despite its defense budget doubling in the past 20 years, UK says

Sophia Ankel – May 3, 2022

russian tank destroyed mariupol
n abandoned damaged Russian tank in the Ukrainian city of Mariupol, Ukraine, on April 13, 2022.Leon Klein/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Russian defense expenditure has grown significantly over the years, the UK said.
  • But the invasion of Ukraine has made the Russian military “significantly weaker,” it said.
  • Russia’s military is falling short in Ukraine, with reports describing low morale and elite troop losses.

The invasion of Ukraine has made Russia’s military “significantly weaker” despite its defense budget doubling in the past 20 years, the UK said Tuesday.

“Russia’s military is now significantly weakened, both materially and conceptually, as a result of its invasion of Ukraine,” the British Ministry of Defence tweeted in its daily intelligence report on Russia’s invasion.

“Recovering from this will be exacerbated by sanctions. This will have a lasting impact on Russia’s ability to deploy conventional military force,” it said.

The ministry added that while Russia’s defense budget had doubled from 2005 to 2018 — with major investments made in air, land, and sea capabilities — its new equipment has not helped it to “dominate Ukraine.”

In 2008, Russia’s then-defense minister, Anatoliy Serdyukov, announced a major structural reorganization of the country’s armed forces, calling it the New Look military modernization process.

The reorganization came after Russia’s weeklong war with Georgia that same year showed that its military still lacked operational capacities, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

But since the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, multiple reports have described how Russian forces were still falling short in the face of staunch Ukrainian resistance.

The head of Ukrainian intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov, told the Ukrainian news outlet The New Voice of Ukraine on Monday: “All they spent money on was to show the greatness of the Russian army in the world. Now we have seen that there is no greatness at all.”

Ukraine’s defense ministry also said last month that Russia was failing to recruit new troops because potential conscripts were too afraid of dying in battle.

Budanov, the intelligence chief, suggested that Russian President Vladimir Putin could officially declare war on May 9 as a way to prepare for mass mobilization.

Putin is under pressure to demonstrate he can show a victory by May 9, a Russian holiday that commemorates the defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945 and is usually marked with a military parade in front of the Kremlin.