The U.S. Finally Cuts the Crap and Calls It a Russian Invasion

Daily Beast

The U.S. Finally Cuts the Crap and Calls It a Russian Invasion

Emil Filtenborg, Stefan Weichert – February 22, 2022

LEONID SHCHEGLOV
LEONID SHCHEGLOV

ZOLOTE, Ukraine—Every building in the neighborhood of Zolote-3 near the front line in Eastern Ukraine is marked by war. Many have broken windows and bullet holes in the walls; others have been completely destroyed by eight years of Russian artillery fire.

The school—which has just seven students left—has attached wooden boards to the lower parts of the windows to protect the children from fragments of war.

“We are afraid—when we are home, if we have to go to work and if we are going shopping. We are afraid all the time. They can hit us at any time,” says schoolteacher Sveta, 46. “But I cannot leave, I don’t know where to go. I just want this war to end.”

But the conflict isn’t going to end anytime soon. It’s just getting started. And finally, White House officials who have dawdled over using the “I-word” are catching up to their European counterparts and calling the latest round of Russian aggression what it, in fact, is: the start of an invasion.

Photos Show Russian Troops Creeping Closer to Ukraine from Forest Hideout

“We think this is, yes, the beginning of an invasion, Russia’s latest invasion into Ukraine… an invasion is an invasion and that is what is underway.” John Finer, deputy national security adviser to the Biden administration, said in a CNN appearance on Tuesday.

And with good reason, as Russian troops and military vehicles have been pouring into Ukraine since Monday night, after President Vladimir Putin gave a rambling ahistorical speech about Moscow’s right to control Ukraine, a nation he sees as part of a larger Russian empire.

Putin’s military now stretches into the regions of Eastern Ukraine that were already under the control of pro-Kremlin rebels who seized power in parts of Donbas at the height of the last incursion, which began in 2014.

The grandiose speech Putin gave from the Kremlin on Monday raises fears that his ambitions do not end there.

His main spokesman Dmitry Peskov appeared to confirm on Tuesday that Russia would “recognize” the broader regions claimed by the rebel areas even though they are currently controlled by Ukraine, although he refused to clarify.

If the Russian military was ordered to enter those areas, that would almost certainly mean a direct military confrontation with the Ukrainian armed forces. And now, Putin has officially won approval from the Federation Council to use Russia’s Armed Forces abroad.

Valentina Matviyenko, the head of the upper house of parliament, announced on Tuesday that Putin had requested permission from lawmakers to deploy troops abroad. She said the decision was based on the fact that “these will be peacekeeping troops aimed at bringing peace to the Donbas.” She went on to claim the troops would “create normal living conditions for people and ensure security.”

The Defense Ministry also spoke out in favor of sending troops abroad, saying: “Russia will take all available measures to eliminate threats to peace in the Donbas, the situation is intensifying, we must take residents of Donbas under our protection.”

“The Kremlin has taken another step towards the revival of the Soviet Union,” said Ukraine’s defense minister, Oleksii Reznikov, on Tuesday.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who appeared to spend much of the past weeks tamping down Western expectations of an imminent invasion, responded to the arrival of Russian troops on his country’s soil by calling for an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council. He spoke with President Joe Biden over the phone and, even before the latest Russian escalation, he told leaders including Vice President Kamala Harris that they needed to take concrete action before a full invasion, demanding a shift away “from a policy of appeasement” in a speech at the Munich security conference on Saturday.

The United States, the European Union and Britain were set to announce new sanctions on Russia on Tuesday in response to Putin’s decision to formally recognize the independence of Luhansk and Donetsk regions, which are under the control of pro-Kremlin stooges but on sovereign Ukrainian land.

There was a debate raging over whether to unleash a full package of sanctions now or wait to see if a full invasion of Ukraine follows. By then, some argue, it may be too late.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said he would cancel the $11 billion Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which was set to deepen Germany’s reliance on Russian gas.

On the ground in Eastern Ukraine, the population continues to wait as the movement of these great tectonic plates is broadcast on their televisions.

“Of course, I heard about Putin’s speech but I don’t know what to think. Ukrainian experts say that he will attack, Americans say something and Russians say something. I don’t know what to think. I really don’t. It is a war of politics, not a war between people here,” Andriy, 38, who works in a mine in Toretsk near the front line, told The Daily Beast.

“I will not evacuate if Russia invades. I didn’t do that back in 2014. I was scared back then, as I am now, but I will not evacuate. I will continue to work, scared, of course, but continue to work.”

The fear has been ratcheting up since late last week, when the local population described the shelling as becoming more and more intense.

It has become familiar over seven years of sporadic shelling and ceasefire violations that include machine-gun fire and mortar attacks, but you can never truly become accustomed to the onslaught. The sound bounces off buildings and the landscape, making it hard to locate. It reflects. Every shell comes as a surprise and your body shakes a little and you feel the pressure or shock wave from the blast—even from far away. As it comes closer, your brain starts to panic somehow, to wonder where it happens next.

In Zolote-3, the population used to stand at more than a thousand, but the relentless pressure of an enormous, hostile neighbor has seen it dwindle to just a few hundred, mainly pensioners. At the entrance to the school, a drawing warns children not to pick up anything suspicious and to keep away from dangerous places.

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>“Call 101,” says a drawing outside the school, teaching kids to call the authorities if they see something like an undetonated bomb.</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast</div>
“Call 101,” says a drawing outside the school, teaching kids to call the authorities if they see something like an undetonated bomb.Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast

The OSCE reported 1,500 ceasefire violations on Saturday alone, leaving the teachers increasingly concerned. “The situation now is terrible. There have been so many shootings in the last three days,” said Sveta, over the weekend. “I cannot even go to work. Children just sit at home. We cannot let them go out.”

The Daily Beast was stopped in the city by 60-year-old Larysa, who stands at her balcony in an apartment block, which she says is almost abandoned.

“We have shootings every hour. Shootings and shootings. I can hear it all the time,” she says, “We don’t need that here. We want peace. We want things to be normal.”

Her neighbors have left, mainly to the Ukrainian port city of Odessa, Larysa explains. Her children and grandchildren have also left, and she feels abandoned.

“We want peace, we want peace, we want peace,” she says.

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>Larysa has faith in the Ukrainian President to provide peace, but she fears all-out war will break out.</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast</div>
Larysa has faith in the Ukrainian President to provide peace, but she fears all-out war will break out.Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast

The neighborhood of Zolote-3 is part of a larger area named Zolote, which is divided into five parts. Zolote-5 is under the control of the Russian-backed separatists, and Zolote-4 is split in two right on the front line. In Zolote-1 and Zolote-2, a few miles from the front line, the locals also complain about the increased number of ceasefire violations.

They can hear mortar attacks frequently and feel the waves from the explosions. Like Zolote-3, they have also suffered from war and economic decay. People in these parts of Zolote are dependent on the local coal mine for jobs.

Pavel, 52, who doesn’t want to provide his last name, recently retired from working in the mines. He fears that it will soon close and leave everyone without work.

“Before the war, we lived peacefully and calmly,” says Pavel, who served in the Soviet Army in his younger years and says he doesn’t have a negative view of Russia. “Back then, we were one country, one people, and now we are divided and we are only ruins.”

He says that what he experiences now is “brothers going against brothers” and that there isn’t anything worse than that. Such a war is “scary,” he says.

Russian troops are now stationed just a few miles from his home. A British Cabinet minister warned Tuesday: “The invasion of Ukraine has begun.”

Zelensky said Kyiv would not accept Russia’s de facto land grab in Donbas. “We are on our land, we are not afraid of anything and anyone, we don’t owe anything to anyone, and we will not give away anything to anyone,” he said in a televised address Tuesday morning.

The president added that Ukraine’s international borders will “remain as such” regardless of Russia’s “declarations and threats.”

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>Nina Vasilievna, 72</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast</div>
Nina Vasilievna, 72Emil Filtenborg/The Daily Beast

Nina Vasilievna, 72, said the latest mortar attack on Zolote was so close to her that her balcony was trembling. She, however, said that she wasn’t afraid.

“There was no panic for me. My hope is in the Lord. He provides calm. People without God are, of course, in a panic. In fear. But my hope is in the Lord. If it were not for God, I would also be in a panic,” she told The Daily Beast.

“Children in Russia are also panicking. My daughter and my granddaughter say, ‘Come on Mom, come on. We’re going away’, but I’ve already been here for eight years. Even while Russia took the city [in 2014]. I will stay here,” she says.

A neutral Ukraine could shatter Putin’s claims on the former Soviet republic | Opinion

The Tennessean

A neutral Ukraine could shatter Putin’s claims on the former Soviet republic | Opinion

AJ Morris – February 22, 2022

In the early years of his ongoing 24-year run as the leader of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin once mused that, “Whoever does not miss the Soviet Union has no heart. Whoever does has no head.”

Whether this quip is an intentional play on a similar line by French statesman Francois Guizot in 1830 is unclear, but it serves to provide us with an irony-soaked window into Putin’s geopolitical worldview.

As Putin places his armed forces yet again on the borders of Ukraine and into the middle of the first crisis of 2022, things certainly feel like Cold War 2.0. One wonders, “Where is Putin’s head?”

Why Putin wants Ukraine in his fold

A glance around Russia’s periphery might help us understand.

Dave Granlund cartoon Putin Ukraine
Dave Granlund cartoon Putin Ukraine

The Eurasian Economic Union is not exactly a nightly topic on Western cable news. But since its formation in 2015, it has grown into the 10th largest economy in the world. The member states are all former members of the Soviet Union, anchored by three key players: Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan.

It may not have the heart of the Soviet Union, but Putin’s new bloc has all the same resources. What’s missing in this “RUBK” cube, as author Austin Bay calls it, is the “U.” Ukraine’s addition to the EEU would transform the EEU into a major world economic power. Ukraine has industry and agriculture the other pieces of the cube lack.

Unfortunately for Putin, the Ukrainian people remember the days of the Soviet Union very well. They remember the famine of 1932 and the millions of deaths that followed. They have made it clear since 2014 that they prefer not to invite the spiritual successor of the hammer and sickle back.

Putin needs Ukraine to complete his economic powerhouse. He seems prepared to take it by force and, as his predecessor Boris Yeltsin once put it, “sit on a throne of bayonets.” Ukraine seems to have few options.

Here’s what Ukraine can do

A NATO membership is one option. Joining the alliance comes with serious commitments for Ukraine, however, and would create a major point of direct geostrategic friction between Russia and the alliance.

Diplomacy is an art of give and take, of being heard but also hearing. Russia claims its military buildup is over concerns about Ukraine being included in NATO and about NATO aggression. Ukraine says it is concerned about (further) Russian invasion and violation of its sovereignty. Perhaps a neutral Ukraine is the answer.

Ukraine has traditionally been a bridge between East and West. Let it continue to be. If Switzerland and Austria can be neutral countries on the European stage, why not Ukraine?

A treaty that establishes a neutral Ukraine takes it out of contention for all parties and allows Ukraine to remain sovereign. It would also allow Putin to save face for his troop buildup while simultaneously removing the pretext he needs for military action. A neutral Ukraine doesn’t fit into Putin’s “RUBK” cube.

If Putin will not accept a treaty of neutrality and decides to take Ukraine or a part of it by force, make it abundantly clear that this means the absolute end of Russian economic ties to the continent. In addition to sanctions, perhaps full-on embargoes of Russian gas and oil should be considered as a deterrence measure. Give soft power the teeth it needs to work so that kinetic power doesn’t have to.

The punchline of Yeltsin’s quote about a throne of bayonets is that “you can’t sit on it for long.” There is still time to keep from finding out.

AJ Morris, a Jackson, Tennessee native. is a captain in the United States Army. His opinions are strictly his own and do not reflect the opinions of the Department of Defense.

Russia ‘will be more isolated than ever’ from the world, strategist says

Yahoo! News

Russia ‘will be more isolated than ever’ from the world, strategist says

Brian Sozzi, Anchor, Editor-at-Large – February 22, 2022

Russia’s actions against Ukraine may lead it to being even more isolated from the rest of the world, which could have damaging effects on its economy, warns one veteran policy strategist.

“They will be more isolated than ever. Countries will not want to do deals with them. I think the pariah label will stick for quite a while,” said Greg Valliere, AGF chief U.S. policy strategist, on Yahoo Finance Live.

On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the deployment of Russian troops to two breakaway regions of Ukraine. The move — seen by the West as a provocation — came after Putin recognized their independence.

Countries wasted no time implementing fresh sanctions on Russia, providing a taste of what could happen economically should Putin invade Ukraine.

Pro-Ukraine demonstrators hold flags and placards during a demonstration in front of the Russian embassy in Berlin on February 22, 2022, following Russia's recognition of eastern Ukrainian separatists. - Russia faced a furious global diplomatic and economic backlash after President Vladimir Putin ordered his forces into Ukraine to secure two breakaway regions. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP) (Photo by JOHN MACDOUGALL/AFP via Getty Images)
Pro-Ukraine demonstrators hold flags and placards during a demonstration in front of the Russian embassy in Berlin on February 22, 2022, following Russia’s recognition of eastern Ukrainian separatists. – Russia faced a furious global diplomatic and economic backlash after President Vladimir Putin ordered his forces into Ukraine to secure two breakaway regions. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP) (Photo by JOHN MACDOUGALL/AFP via Getty Images)

U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson unveiled a package of sanctions on Russia Tuesday morning. Germany halted the important Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline that sends Russian natural gas to Europe.

“I think that much of Europe would continue to view Putin with great anxiety,” added Valliere.

U.S. President Joe Biden will impose new sanctions on trade and financing in the two territories recognized by Putin, CNN reported.

Biden is expected to address the situation in public remarks today at 2:00 p.m. ET.

All three major stock indexes fell as traders assessed how the situation will impact energy markets and Fed policy. The tech heavy Nasdaq Composite fell the most by afternoon trading, off by about 1%.

“The global economic fallout could be contained if subsequent sanctions on traded goods and services from Russia stay limited. Russia is a major exporter of energy and industrial metals like platinum, palladium, titanium, nickel, and aluminum, as well as grains. However, any sanctions on these commodities and products would likely lead to upward inflationary pressure in markets, where inflation is already at multi-decade highs,” explained Truist co-chief investment officer Keith Lerner.

Fiona Hill says that Trump emboldened Putin to invade Ukraine by treating the country like a ‘playground’

Insider

Fiona Hill says that Trump emboldened Putin to invade Ukraine by treating the country like a ‘playground’

Tom Porter – February 21, 2022

Fiona Hill
Fiona Hill, former top Russia advisor to the White House, gives testimony in the impeachment inquiry of President Donald Trump in November 2019.Bonnie Jo Mount/The Washington Post via Getty Images
  • Fiona Hill criticized Donald Trump’s approach to foreign policy, especially regarding Russia.
  • Hill said Trump’s policies sent the message to Putin that Ukraine is a “playground.”
  • Her comments come as the US warns that Russia is about to invade Ukraine.

The former White House Russia advisor, Fiona Hill, said that President Donald Trump’s foreign policy emboldened Russia to the point where it feels it can invade Ukraine.

In an interview with CNN, Hill, an expert on Russia who advised Trump, addressed the contrasts between Trump’s approach to foreign policy and President Joe Biden’s.

She said Trump’s foreign policy had not been driven by concern about the US national interest, but by personal interests and impulses.

“There’s no Team America for Trump,” Hill said. “Not once did I see him do anything to put America first. Not once. Not for a single second.”

Hill recalled Trump’s praise for Russia’s authoritarian leader, Vladimir Putin, as well as his disdain for NATO. She also mentioned his campaign to pressure Ukraine for manufactured dirt about Biden in the run-up to the 2020 election. The Ukraine pressure campaign saw Trump threaten to withhold military aid from the nation, which led to his first impeachment.

“All this did was say to Russia that Ukraine was a playground,” Hill said, drawing a direct line to events today, as Russia has amassed a huge military force around Ukraine, prompting fears in the US and European countries that a military strike is imminent.

Hill shot to prominence when she testified during Trump’s 2019 impeachment hearings, rebutting conspiracy theories promoted by Trump allies that sought to excuse Russia of blame for interfering in the 2016 election, and explaining how Russia was seeking to sow domestic discord in the US.

She has gone on to speak critically of Trump’s approach to foreign policy, and has said there were close parallels between how Trump sought to cling on to power after his defeat in 2020 and Putin’s style of rule.

Hill said in the CNN interview that Biden had managed to pull NATO allies together for a display of resolve in the face of Russian aggression, but warned that the crisis would likely drag on for some time, as Russia seeks to slowly exert pressure on Ukraine.

“The real challenge is keeping everyone together for a considerable period,” Hill concluded. “It’s going to go on a long time.”

Trump Dubs Putin’s Ukraine Strategy A Work Of ‘Genius’

HuffPost

Trump Dubs Putin’s Ukraine Strategy A Work Of ‘Genius’

Sara Boboltz – February 22, 2022

Former President Donald Trump gave Russian President Vladimir Putin a bizarre rave review on Tuesday after Russian military forces began moving into Ukraine and threatening its civilians ― while simultaneously claiming nothing like that would have ever happened under his administration.

Trump appeared in awe of Putin during an interview on a right-wing talk radio program broadcast from Tennessee. He described watching the Monday evening news after Putin declared two sections of Ukraine to be independent and ordered Russian troops to storm the regions for alleged “peacekeeping” purposes.

“I said, ‘This is genius,’” Trump recalled. “Putin declares a big portion of the Ukraine, of Ukraine ― Putin declares it as independent. Oh, that’s wonderful.”

“So, Putin is now saying, ‘It’s independent.’ A large section of Ukraine. I said, ‘How smart is that?’ And he’s going to go in and be a peacekeeper. That’s the strongest peace force,” Trump said.

“We could use that on our southern border,” he added, before continuing with his praise. “That’s the strongest peace force I’ve ever seen. There were more army tanks than I’ve ever seen. They’re going to keep peace all right. No, but think of it. Here’s a guy who’s very savvy.”

“I know him very well. Very, very well,” Trump said. The fondness that Trump displayed for the Russian strongman over the course of his presidency and beyond has continued to baffle even some in his own party.

The White House explicitly called Putin’s move an “invasion” on Tuesday after weeks of tension between Russia and Ukraine and its Western allies. Russia began chipping away at Ukraine’s borders in 2014, and more than 14,000 people have died ― including about 3,300 civilians ― since Russian-backed separatists began clashing with Ukrainian forces.

President Joe Biden said his administration would be imposing serious sanctions on Russia in response to its latest military activity.

“Who in the Lord’s name does Putin think gives him the right to declare new so-called countries on territories that belong to his neighbors?” Biden said from the White House.

Trump, after heaping praise on the Russian leader, claimed that he would have somehow been able to prevent the buildup of military forces from escalating into action.

“By the way, this never would have happened with us. Had I been in office ― not even thinkable. This would never have happened,” he said, having already repeated his false assertion that the 2020 presidential election was “rigged.”

Putin has said that pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine should control a much larger part of the country than they already do, offering a hint at his intentions in the region.

The White House’s new sanctions target two major Russian banks and powerful Russian individuals, with Biden leaving the door open to more measures if needed.

EXPLAINER: What is the Russia-Europe Nord Stream 2 pipeline?

Associated Press

EXPLAINER: What is the Russia-Europe Nord Stream 2 pipeline?

David McHugh – February 22, 2022

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has suspended the certification process for the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline after Russia recognized separatist-held regions in eastern Ukraine.

The undersea pipeline directly links Russian gas to Europe via Germany and is complete but not yet operating. It has become a major target as Western governments try to exert leverage on Russia to deter further military moves against its neighbor.

Here are key things to understand about the pipeline:

WHAT IS NORD STREAM 2?

It’s a 1,230-kilometer-long (764-mile-long) natural gas pipeline under the Baltic Sea, running from Russia to Germany’s Baltic coast.

It runs parallel to an earlier Nord Stream pipeline and would double its capacity, to 110 billion cubic meters of gas a year. It means Gazprom can send gas to Europe’s pipeline system without using existing pipelines running through Ukraine and Poland.

The pipeline has been filled with gas but had been awaiting approval by Germany and the European Commission.

HOW IS SCHOLZ BLOCKING THE PIPELINE?

Germany’s utility regulator was reviewing the pipeline for compliance with European regulations on fair competition. It’s that approval process that Scholz said Tuesday that he was suspending.

Germany was required to submit a report on how the pipeline would affect energy security, and Scholz said that report was being withdrawn.

WHY IS SCHOLZ TAKING ACTION NOW?

Scholz, who took power in December, backed the project as finance minister for his predecessor, Angela Merkel, and his Social Democratic Party supported it. As Russia massed troops near Ukraine’s border, Scholz avoided referring to Nord Stream 2 specifically even as U.S. officials said it would not move forward if Russia invaded.

But Scholz warned that Russia would face “severe consequences” and that sanctions must be ready ahead of time. Germany had agreed with the U.S. to act against Nord Stream 2 if Russia used gas as a weapon or attacked Ukraine.

The chancellor said Tuesday that Russia recognizing the independence of rebel-held areas in Ukraine marked a “serious break of international law” and that it was necessary to “send a clear signal to Moscow that such actions won’t remain without consequences.”

WHY DOES RUSSIA WANT THE PIPELINE?

State-owned gas giant Gazprom says it will meet Europe’s growing need for affordable natural gas and complement existing pipelines through Belarus and Ukraine.

Nord Stream 2 would offer an alternative to Ukraine’s aging system that Gazprom says needs refurbishment, lower costs by saving transit fees paid to Ukraine, and avoid episodes like brief 2006 and 2009 gas cutoffs over price and payment disputes between Russia and Ukraine.

Europe is a key market for Gazprom, whose sales support the Russian government budget. Europe needs gas because it’s replacing decommissioned coal and nuclear plants before renewable energy sources such as wind and solar are sufficiently built up.

WHY IS THE U.S. AGAINST NORD STREAM 2?

The White House was in “close consultations with Germany” and welcomed their announcement, press secretary Jen Psaki tweeted Tuesday.

The U.S., European NATO allies such as Poland, and Ukraine have opposed the project going back before the Biden administration, saying it increases Europe’s dependence on Russian gas and gives Russia the possibility of using gas as a geopolitical weapon. Europe imports most of its gas and gets roughly 40% of its supply from Russia.

The pipeline, which went forward under Merkel, has been an irritant in U.S.-German relations. Biden waived sanctions against the pipeline’s operator when it was almost complete in return for an agreement from Germany to take action against Russia if it used gas as a weapon or attacks Ukraine.

In Congress, Republicans and Democrats — in a rare bit of agreement — have long objected to Nord Stream 2.

WILL SUSPENDING NORD STREAM 2 MAKE EUROPEANS FREEZE THIS WINTER?

No. Even before Scholz’s move, regulators made clear the approval process could not be completed in the first half of the year. That means the pipeline was not going to help meet heating and electricity needs this winter as the continent faces a gas shortage.

The winter shortage has continued to feed concerns about relying on Russian gas. Russia held back from short-term gas sales — even though it fulfilled long-term contracts with European customers — and failed to fill its underground storage in Europe.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has said the shortage underlines the need to quickly approve Nord Stream 2, increasing concerns about Russia using gas to gain leverage over Europe.

COULD RUSSIA CUT OFF GAS TO EUROPE IN RETALIATION?

While Europe needs Russian gas, Gazprom also needs the European market. That interdependence is why many think Russia won’t cut off supplies to Europe, and Russian officials have underlined they have no intention to do that.

Meanwhile, the Ukraine crisis, on top of the winter shortage, is has already given European governments more reason to find their gas somewhere else, such as through liquefied natural gas, or LNG, brought by ship from the U.S., Algeria and other places.

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, who is now deputy chair of Russia’s Security Council, tweeted his displeasure after Germany suspended Nord Stream 2: “Welcome to the brave new world where Europeans are very soon going to pay 2,000 euros for 1.000 cubic meters of natural gas!”

The spot market gas price in Europe was 829 euros ($940) per thousand cubic meters Tuesday. It was 1,743 euros (nearly $2,000) in late December amid jitters over the Ukraine crisis, and prices have since fallen as Europe has secured more LNG.

Associated Press writers Vladimir Isachenkov in Moscow, Geir Moulson and Frank Jordans in Berlin, and Lisa Mascaro and Ellen Knickmeyer in Washington contributed.

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ wife had ties to January 6 rally organizer

Business Insider

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ wife had ties to January 6 rally organizers and efforts to overturn the 2020 election: report

Oma Seddiq – February 22, 2022

Ginni Thomas, Clarence Thomas
Supreme Court Associate Justice Clarence Thomas, right, and his wife, Virginia “Ginni” Thomas, at the White House in 2019.AP Photo/Patrick Semansky
  • Ginni Thomas had ties to organizers of a January 6, 2021, rally, The New York Times reported.
  • The Times also reported on her connections with people who sought to overturn the 2020 election.
  • Thomas served on the board of a conservative group that pushed members to challenge the results.

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ wife, Virginia “Ginni” Thomas, had ties to organizers of the January 6, 2021, rallies in support of President Donald Trump as well as to efforts to subvert the 2020 election results, according to a New York Times Magazine report published Tuesday.

The Times revealed details about Thomas’ role, which had been previously unreported. The Washington Post reported last month that Thomas shared a Facebook post on January 6 before the violence broke out. “LOVE MAGA people!!!! GOD BLESS EACH OF YOU STANDING UP OR PRAYING.” she wrote.

Thomas, a longtime conservative activist, played a peacemaking role among rally organizers “so that there wouldn’t be any division around January 6,” Dustin Stockton, who helped organize the Ellipse rally, told The Times. The rally on the Ellipse, just south of the White House, took place shortly before a crowd of Trump supporters descended on the Capitol, clashed with law enforcement, and interrupted the 2020 election certification.

“The way it was presented to me was that Ginni was uniting these different factions around a singular mission on January 6,” Stockton said. The Times noted that other rally organizers disputed Stockton’s account about Thomas but did not offer specifics.

Thomas also served on the advisory board of Turning Point USA, a conservative nonprofit that sponsored the event and provided buses for rallygoers on January 6, The Times reported.

Thomas is also connected with people who sought to undo the 2020 election results. John Eastman, the lawyer who wrote a memo on how Vice President Mike Pence could overturn the election results, previously clerked for Clarence Thomas at the Supreme Court and is a close friend to the couple, according to The Times.

Steve Bannon, a onetime White House chief strategist for Trump, also endorsed efforts to challenge the election results. Ginni Thomas founded a group called Groundswell with Bannon’s support, The Times reported.

Thomas also served on the board of the Council for National Policy’s political arm, CNP Action, which circulated a document titled “Election Results and Legal Battles: What Now?” after the presidential election, according to The Times. The document urged members to call on Republican state lawmakers to challenge the 2020 election results.

In December 2020, CNP Action shared a newsletter with a report called “Five States and the Election Irregularities and Issues,” featuring five swing states where Trump had been attempting to overturn the results. The newsletter pointed to “historical, legal precedent for Congress to count a slate of electors different from that certified by the Governor of the state,” according to The Times.

Top Russian official taunts Europe with sky-high gas prices after Germany axes Nord Stream 2 pipeline

Insider

Top Russian official taunts Europe with sky-high gas prices after Germany axes Nord Stream 2 pipeline

Natalie Musumeci, John Haltiwanger – February 22, 2022

Deputy Chairman of Russia's Security Council Dmitry Medvedev gives an interview at the Gorki state residence outside Moscow, Russia January 25, 2022.
Dmitry Medvedev, the deputy chairman of Russia’s security council, during an interview in January.Sputnik/Yulia Zyryanova/Pool via Reuters
  • The deputy chair of Russia’s security council taunted Europe with higher gas prices on Tuesday.
  • He made the comment after Germany put a stop to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
  • Germany halted the pipeline amid Russia’s decision to order troops into eastern Ukraine.

A top Russian government official on Tuesday taunted Europe with sky-high gas prices after Germany put a stop to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline amid Russia’s decision to order troops into eastern Ukraine.

“German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has issued an order to halt the process of certifying the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline,” Dmitry Medvedev, a former Russian president and the deputy chair of Russia’s security council, said in a tweet.

“Well. Welcome to the brave new world where Europeans are very soon going to pay €2.000 for 1.000 cubic meters of natural gas!” he added.

Germany on Tuesday scrapped plans for Nord Stream 2 — an undersea pipeline that would carry natural gas from Russia to Europe — in response to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recognizing the independence of two separatist regions in eastern Ukraine.

In an interview with CNN, Jonathan Finer, a deputy US national security advisor, described Russia’s latest moves as “the beginning of an invasion” of Ukraine.

Nord Stream 2 is highly controversial; the Ukrainian government and lawmakers on both sides of the aisle in Washington have opposed it. Critics have contended that Nord Stream 2 would give Russia far too much leverage over Europe. The pipeline also bypasses Ukraine, depriving it of billions in gas transit fees.

Nord Stream 2 was not yet operational — it was waiting on German certification.

For months Germany had tiptoed around committing to halting the pipeline if Russia took action against Ukraine. But President Joe Biden earlier this month said that if Russia invaded Ukraine there would “no longer be a Nord Stream 2.”

The White House applauded Germany’s swift reaction to Russia’s actions.

Biden “made clear that if Russia invaded Ukraine, we would act with Germany to ensure Nord Stream 2 does not move forward,” Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said in a tweet on Tuesday. “We have been in close consultations with Germany overnight and welcome their announcement. We will be following up with our own measures today.”

Why Putin didn’t invade Ukraine during the last U.S. administration

MSNBC – MaddowBlog

Why Putin didn’t invade Ukraine during the last U.S. administration

Why didn’t Russia invade Ukraine during Trump’s term? Perhaps because Putin was so pleased to see Trump pursuing goals in line with Moscow’s agenda.

By Steve Benen – February 22, 2022 

After the National Archives confirmed on Friday that Donald Trump brought classified national security documents to Mar-a-Lago, the former president issued a long, rambling response, insisting the controversy was unimportant. But toward the end of the written tirade, the Republican added an unrelated thought, seemingly in passing.

Trump was apparently trying to argue that he didn’t have time to worry about tasks such as presidential records keeping. He was, Trump added, “too busy making sure Russia didn’t attack Ukraine.”

How subtle. The former president wants the public to know Vladimir Putin didn’t invade Ukraine during his term — unlike the current U.S. president.

There’s been plenty of related chatter of late in Republican circles. Putin targeted Georgia during George W. Bush’s tenure, Crimea during Barack Obama’s terms, and all of Ukraine after Joe Biden became president, but the Russian autocrat’s ambitions were restrained during Trump’s time in the White House. This, the right tells us, should be seen as proof of … something.

National Review’s Rich Lowry made the case via Twitter last night, “The sheer unpredictably of Trump, his anger at being defied or disrespected, his willingness to take the occasional big risk (the Soleimani strike), all had to make Putin frightened or wary of him in a way that he simply isn’t of Joe Biden.”

That’s certainly one way of looking at recent events, though it’s probably not the best way.

It’s important to acknowledge what motivates the Russian leader. The Atlantic’s Anne Applebaum summarized matters nicely a few weeks ago:

[Putin] wants to put so much strain on Western and democratic institutions, especially the European Union and NATO, that they break up. He wants to keep dictators in power wherever he can, in Syria, Venezuela, and Iran. He wants to undermine America, to shrink American influence, to remove the power of the democracy rhetoric that so many people in his part of the world still associate with America. He wants America itself to fail.

It led The Washington Post’s Jennifer Rubin to add yesterday, “Trump’s foreign policy sought to do much of what Putin wants to achieve, including intimidating Ukraine by withholding vital defensive weapons.”

Quite right. Putin wanted to undermine the NATO alliance, and Trump undermined the NATO alliance. Putin wanted to weaken the E.U., and Trump made little effort to express his disdain for the E.U. Putin wanted to weaken the U.S. political system, and Trump was unnervingly aggressive in trying to weaken the U.S. political system.

Putin wanted to hurt Ukraine, and Trump launched an extortion scheme that threatened to hurt Ukraine.

Why didn’t the Russian leader deploy troops into Ukraine during Trump’s term? Perhaps because Putin was so pleased with an American president who pursued goals in line with Moscow’s agenda.

Had Putin launched an invasion, it risked upsetting the course he was already delighted to see. Why would the Russian leader get in the way of the progress Trump was already delivering?

Steve Benen is a producer for “The Rachel Maddow Show,” the editor of MaddowBlog and an MSNBC political contributor. He’s also the bestselling author of “The Impostors: How Republicans Quit Governing and Seized American Politics.”

Putin Rival Dishes on How to Deal With the Spiraling President

Daily Beast

Putin Rival Dishes on How to Deal With the Spiraling President

Noga Tarnopolsky – February 22, 2022

ATALIA KOLESNIKOVA/AFP via Getty Images
ATALIA KOLESNIKOVA/AFP via Getty Images

JERUSALEM—Former Polish President Aleksander Kwaśniewski has sat across a table from Vladimir Putin on dozens of occasions. Having traded jabs with the Russian president through countless conflicts during his 10-year-long-tenure—most notably when he helped Ukraine get rid of a pro-Russia president who came to power after an allegedly fraudulent election—Kwaśniewski has never been known to back down from a face-off with Putin.

Now, with the Russian president on the verge of launching a full-scale invasion of Ukraine that could spark a devastating war, Kwaśniewski has some thoughts on how to manage the latest round of aggression from Moscow. And it involves doing exactly the opposite of what Putin has demanded of the U.S. and NATO.

The U.S. Finally Cuts the Crap and Calls It a Russian Invasion

NATO should immediately accept Ukraine as a full member, Kwaśniewski, who was the president of Poland from 1995-2005, told The Daily Beast while on a visit to Jerusalem.

“If Putin can decide in one night that Donetsk and Luhansk are no longer part of Ukraine, why can we not decide that Ukraine is a member of NATO?,” he said after meeting with Israeli leaders at the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, which he attended following the Munich Security Conference. “For me the real test will be the question of NATO. Ukraine—even a partial, divided Ukraine—must become a member of NATO now, not next week,” he added, alluding to Donetsk and Luhansk, the two Ukrainian provinces that have been de facto annexed by Russia.

For months, Vladimir Putin has been aggressively pushing for guarantees from NATO that Ukraine be barred from the alliance, using Western leaders’ refusal to cede to that demand as justification for Moscow’s continued military escalations. Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky, meanwhile, has remained firm in his stance that his country should have the right to join the alliance as a member state, with all the security perks that come with it.

On Tuesday, the international military alliance did not address the possibility of upgrading Ukraine’s status, but in a press conference NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg acknowledged that “every indication is that Russia continues to plan for a full-scale attack on Ukraine… More and more of the forces are moving out of the camps and are in combat formations and ready to strike.”

As the world eyes Ukraine’s borders for signs of a full-scale invasion that Kwaśniewski believes is Putin’s “next likely step,” other skilled observers of Putin warn that he has already launched something just as dire: an endless multi-level onslaught that hovers just beneath the Biden administration’s benchmark for direct military intervention.

With Ukraine nearly encircled by Russian forces, two provinces declared “independent” and regular cyber attacks, “they want to make our lives impossible so we agree that anything is better than this—even their takeover,” said Ruslan Kavatsiuk, a former adviser to Ukrainian army chief of staff Viktor Muzhenko, who as an officer fought against the Russian forces in the region of Donbass, in 2014.

Kremlin TV Asks ‘Where’s the Champagne?’ as Ukraine’s Kids Are Prepped for War

“They want to crack our minds,” Kavatsiuk told The Daily Beast. “Their main problem is that they are afraid about entering without the population’s agreement. They want us to say ‘we can’t survive like this, give us anything else, even you.’’”

Nonetheless, Kavatsiuk, who has allegedly learned that he’s on a Russian kill list should the Ukrainian government be overthrown by Russian forces, added that no “other military has killed more Russian soldiers than the Ukrainian armed forces.” When Russia invaded Crimea, he said, Russian forces were stopped even by an overpowered Ukrainian military. “They didn’t stop at Crimea because they felt like it.”

Ukraine has long held the imaginations of ambitious Russian leaders and of dissenters dreaming of freedom from the Russian yoke. Natan Sharansky, a native of Donetsk and its most famous dissident, who spent nine years in Soviet prisons in the 1980s, recalled in an interview with The Daily Beast conversations about Ukraine with fellow convicts. “In our scenarios, once the Soviet Union fell Ukraine would become independent, and would quickly become a country like France… Ukraine has great potential as a democracy and for Putin, the main concern is that Ukraine is the principal stumbling block preventing him from restoring the Soviet empire.”

“The more their direction is towards the west and NATO, the more Putin thinks ‘we want our lands back,’” he added.

Putin, he believes, had good reason for hope following the fiasco of President Obama’s 2013 abandonment of his red line against the use of chemical weapons in Syria, which opened the door to Russia’s reemergence as a diplomatic actor in the Middle East.

“Obama demonstrated incredible weakness when he did what he did with Syrian chemical weapons, Assad survived and the Russians built their bases,” Sharansky, who became an Israeli politician after his release, said. “It was a mistake that Israel took this so quietly.” Remarking on his country’s predicament, Israeli foreign minister Yair Lapid said on Monday that “Russia is our neighbor to the north.”

A year later, Putin annexed the Crimean peninsula, part of Ukraine, to Russia through a silent invasion of un-uniformed soldiers. The West imposed sanctions on Russia. “It was clear the West was not going to do anything to stop him, Sharansky said. “He wanted Crimea for a long time, and it was a difficult decision for him, but the weakness of an American president who did not hold to his own word made it much easier.”

Putin, Kavatsiuk says, miscalculated the support he enjoys in Ukraine by assuming that Russian speakers—a group including every Ukrainian over the age of 30, who lived under Soviet domination—would support his endeavor to annex part or all of Ukraine to a greater Russia.

Kavatsiuk, who is deputy CEO of Kyiv’s Babyn Yar Holocaust Memorial Center, said that some natively Russian-speaking Ukrainians switch to Ukrainian when traveling abroad so as not to be perceived as Russians.

“The language is not an issue,” he said. “The question is are you pro-European Union or pro-Russia? Do you want to be part of the free world or part of a country that is one big Guantanamo prison? We choose freedom and democracy day after day, again and again, we choose democracy because it is part of our DNA,” he said.

Photos Show Russian Troops Creeping Closer to Ukraine from Forest Hideout

A recent poll conducted by the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, an independent think tank, showed that 78 percent of Ukrainians consider Ukrainian their mother tongue, versus 18 percent whose native language is Russian.

While foreign embassies have fled the capital city of Kyiv, a move Kavatsiuk calls “cowardly,” Ukrainian citizens remain subject to an extraordinary psychological and economic assault. Many with family in the western part of the country are trying to find refuge among relatives.

“Psychologically, how long can people live under such pressure?” Kwaśniewski asked, recalling his visit, less than a week ago, to Dnipro, Ukraine’s fourth largest city in the nation’s endangered east, which is only 160 miles from the city of Donetsk. “I saw very, very serious citizens. They don’t smile. They are prepared to fight. Putin may have underestimated their will.”