Three Ukrainian women held hostage by Russian soldiers speak out

Today

Trapped in terror: Three Ukrainian women held hostage by Russian soldiers speak out

Danielle Campoamor – April 19, 2022

On March 3, Russian forces took hold of Yahidne, a small village outside of Chernihiv, Ukraine, and held the villagers captive in a school basement for 25 harrowing days.

Ukrainian survivors believe at least 20 people died during the month-long Russian occupation, including 11 elderly villagers who passed away while inside the basement. No official death toll has been released by Ukrainian officials.

Surviving off limited food and forced to go to the bathroom in buckets, men, women and children huddled together — four people per square meter — as Russian forces ransacked and destroyed their homes. Adults slept sitting up, while mothers used their bodies as makeshift beds for their children. The youngest Ukrainian held captive was just 2 months old.

To keep track of time, villagers etched the passing days into one of the basement walls.

A picture of the makeshift calendar, etched into the walls of the school's basement, so those held captive could keep track of the passing days. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
A picture of the makeshift calendar, etched into the walls of the school’s basement, so those held captive could keep track of the passing days. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

TODAY Parents spoke, through a translator, to three Ukrainian women who were held captive by Russian troops in Yahidne and described, in detail, the conditions of their imprisonment. Now liberated, they say they want to world to know what the Russian military did to their homes, their village and their families.

The Defiant Grandmother

Valentyna Lohvynchuk, 56, told TODAY Parents Russians began shelling her village on the first day of March. Afraid, she hid in the cellar in the basement of her home with others from her village. They stayed in the basement until March 3 when, at around 4 pm, Russian soldiers came to her home.

“At first they were just shooting everywhere around — we could hear them from the basement,” Lohvynchuk told TODAY Parents. “Then they opened the basement doors and immediately threw something small inside: Some small explosive package.”

Related: Russian missile destroys José Andrés’ World Central Kitchen restaurant in Ukraine

Lohvynchuk and the others began to cry out, begging the soldiers not to shoot.

“We started crying, yelling, ‘Please, do not kill us. Here in the basement, you can see it’s only women and children,'” she explained. “Then they said, ‘OK. Actually, we came here to protect you.'”

The soldiers took the women and children from their home, rounding up all the citizens of the town and holding them hostage in the basement of the village school.

A picture of the town's school, where the Russian soldiers held 350 Ukrainian adults and around 75 children captive in the basement. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
A picture of the town’s school, where the Russian soldiers held 350 Ukrainian adults and around 75 children captive in the basement. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

“There were 350 adults and 76 children,” Lohvynchuk said. “When they were pushing us into the basement, we saw that next to the school in the village there was a huge hole in the ground. We thought it was a potential mass grave and we were afraid we would all be killed and just thrown into this hole.”

With no access to electricity, medical care and limited access to food and clean drinking water, the elders of the village began to die.

“Over time, 11 elderly people died,” Lohvynchuk explained. “We were not allowed to bury them properly.” At times, the bodies laid next to the survivors for days before Russian troops allowed some of the villagers to take the bodies to the surface, where “there was some special place, which was used to burn fire, next to the school, and they allowed us to put some corpses there.”

“All people were very frightened, and didn’t speak much,” she added. “We were all just praying to God, and asking God to help.”

Related: Desperation, then hope: American ex-military rescue pregnant surrogates in Ukraine

One evening, Lohvynchuk says a drunk Russian soldier descended into the basement, demanding a young Ukrainian woman go with him. Fearing the soldier had intended to rape the woman, the villagers formed a human shield around her.

“We were all around her. We started asking him, begging him, imploring him,” Lohvynchuk said. “Thank God, he listened to us, and he left her alone.”

Related: Ukrainian survivor of Russian kidnapping and rape shares her story

On March 30, Russian troops locked the basement doors and barricaded them from the outside, warning their captives not to leave. From inside the basement, the villagers heard terrible explosions and began to fear that the Russians intended to purposefully bomb the school, killing everyone inside. Two weeks earlier, on March 16, Russian forces bombed a theater used as a shelter in Mariupol, killing up to 300 people.

A photo of the town's citizens, held captive in the town's school's basement for weeks. There was barely enough room to stand, let alone sit or lay down. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
A photo of the town’s citizens, held captive in the town’s school’s basement for weeks. There was barely enough room to stand, let alone sit or lay down. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

At around 6:30 pm, some of the Ukrainian men trapped in the basement forced the doors open, and found the school and the town deserted. The Russian forces left nothing but destruction in their wake.

“They lived in our houses and after they left everything was damaged,” Lohvynchuk explained. “They stole everything they could, and everything they couldn’t take they just broke or set on fire. I don’t know how to call them people. They are not human beings.”

On March 31, Ukrainian forces arrived at the village, and a group of volunteers helped Lohvynchuk travel to Yagotin, near Kyiv, to live with her daughter, son-in-law, and two granddaughters.

Related: Why one Ukrainian mom wrote family contact information on her daughter’s body

While safe, Lohvynchuk says the horrors of Russian occupation will stay with her forever.

“I have not come back to my senses since this experience,” she explained. “Today my daughter took me to the ophthalmologist, and my eyesight has deteriorated. I believe it’s from the stress.”

“Before the Russian soldiers left, they told us Putin’s plan,” she added. “His plan was to have our village inhabited by the Tuva Republic in Russia. That Ukrainians must be exterminated — no place for them to live here — and Russians would take this land. That was Putin’s plan.”

The stories from civilians in Yahidne could not immediately be verified by TODAY, though the Associated Press has documented the village’s destruction and the civilians being held in a basement as well. Russia has repeatedly denied targeting civilians.

The Resilient Mother

Tetyana Diohtyar, 36, is a mother of three children, ages 10, 4, and 4 months old. Diohtyar lived with her husband and children close to Cherniv, and traveled to Yahidne for refuge after the first Russian bombs fell, assuming the soldiers would not bother to attack such a small town.

She was staying with her husband’s two brothers and their families when the Russian troops invaded Yahidne.

“On March 3, we heard very loud gunfire very close to our building,” Diohtyar told TODAY Parents. “We immediately took all of our kids and very quickly rushed to the cellar.”

A family huddles together in the basement of the town's school. The citizens had to ration food and water in order to survive. At times, it was so hot they couldn't breathe.  (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
A family huddles together in the basement of the town’s school. The citizens had to ration food and water in order to survive. At times, it was so hot they couldn’t breathe. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

After 20 minutes, the families heard people walking around their home — they were shouting and cursing. They quickly realized the voices were looking for them.

“A bit later, one military man appeared in the cellar,” Diohtyar explained. “I was in panic. I took my youngest son in my arms and I started crying, yelling and imploring him please, for God’s sake, don’t touch us. Don’t kill us. We have only kids here.”

The soldier took her husband and his two brothers away — she did not know what was going to happen to them. The solider only told them to remain in the cellar. Her 10-year-old daughter cried out for her father, begging God to bring him back to her.

The soldiers interrogated her husband, who is a member of a rescue team in Ukraine. After finding what they believed to be a military uniform, they held a gun to his face. It was only after her husband explained that he’s a first responder, not a soldier, that the Russian soldier lowered his weapon.

Related: Biden calls for Putin to face war crimes trial over atrocities in Bucha

After 15 minutes, the men returned to the cellar — the soldiers had searched them and confiscated their cell phones. They then took the older children — ages 15, 18 and 20 — and searched them, too. After finding two computers and their iPhones, the soldiers began to interrogate the children, who are students attending school in Ukraine.

The soldiers stripped the two young men naked, and forced the young woman on her knees.

“They asked them why they had these gadgets and how they got them,” Diohtyar explained. “(The students) explained that they earned money to buy them. The soldiers were surprised that Ukrainians could earn enough money to buy an iPhone.”

“The children could not understand why, as students, they couldn’t have a notebook,” she added. “Why these people didn’t understand these are just things they needed for studying.”

Diohtyar says that once everyone was returned to the cellar, a solider told the family they had been authorized to kill them all.

“They said they would not do it now, though,” she added. “They told us to wait to die until midday tomorrow.”

The Russian soldiers left the town in ruins. Many of the Ukrainian occupants did not have a home to come back to. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
The Russian soldiers left the town in ruins. Many of the Ukrainian occupants did not have a home to come back to. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

The next day, the family heard knocking on the cellar door. The soldiers had returned, and told them they had 10 minutes to get to the basement of the village school or they would throw a grenade into the cellar.

The family entered the basement on March 5, and were able to find a small room to house the whole family — 18 people in total.

“We could just sit and sleep while we were sitting,” Diohtyar explained. “We took kids on us — on our bodies. We were sort of making layers of people and younger kids, they were over their mothers’ bodies.”

Diohtyar was breastfeeding, and began to fear she would not have an adequate amount of food to produce enough milk for her then 3-month-old.

“There was a scarcity of food,” she explained. “We ate only once, maximum twice a day. I was all the time trying to drink enough liquid to make sure I would have milk. Luckily, I did have milk to feed my child.”

Related: Russia bombs art school turned shelter: Mariupol ‘wiped off the face of the Earth’

For weeks, the family lived in darkness. Without any electricity, the villagers lit candles, burned oil and lit any cotton they could find on fire. While the weather was brutally cold, inside the crowded basement it grew hot and suffocating. Diohtyar says the inability to breathe is one of the reasons why 11 of the village’s elders perished inside the basement.

“Sometimes they allowed us to take the dead body out on the same day,” she added. “But in some cases, they would allow us to do it on the next day or even two days later.”

To keep the children calm, with the permission of the Russian soldiers the villagers raided the school. They brought the children crayons for them to write on the basement walls, as well as paint and paper. From the kindergarten classes, the adults brought children legos, cars and other toys.

On March 30, Diohtyar says they were beginning to run out of food and asked the soldiers if they could emerge from the basement to gather more bread, cereal and grains. In response, an officer gave the villagers two handwritten copies of a Russian anthem and told the villagers he would allow them to gather more food if they learned the anthem by heart and sang it.

“We refused to do it. We didn’t do it,” Diohtyar said. “Luckily, shortly after that, we were free.”

A picture of another destroyed civilian building.
A picture of another destroyed civilian building.

Once liberated, Diohtyar and her family returned to the family’s home only to find it completely destroyed.

“We literally had only the floor and walls left. Everything else — all windows, all furniture, all doors, door frames — they were all broken and burnt,” she said. “They stole our washing machine, mattresses, sofas, and destroyed what they could not take away. We could hardly find anything to take with us. We could not even find clothes for the kids to take with us.”

The family also found their dog lying dead outside, shot by Russian soldiers.

Related: One American left safety behind to care for abandoned animals in Ukraine

Now in western Ukraine, Diohtyar says her 10-year-old daughter cries constantly. But Diohtyar is determined to be strong for her family.

“I am a strong woman. We will go back to our village and rebuild our house. I will plant flowers in the flower beds and eat apples from the apple trees, which we have in the orchard,” she said. “We will plant new trees. My kids are next to me and I will live for my kids.”

“We should not forget about this experience,” she added. “We will overcome it and rebuild our house. Renew everything we can. The most important thing is that we are lucky we have all survived.”

The Courageous Widow

Antonia, 29, who asked that her last name be withheld for her safety, told TODAY Parents that she traveled to Yahidne with her husband and 7-year-old son to stay with her mother, assuming it would be “a much safer place for us to stay, to kind of hide away from the dangers of war.”

Like so many of her fellow Ukrainians, her family hid in the home’s cellar once the Russian shelling began.

“There were three families staying in my mother’s house at first,” Antonia told TODAY Parents. “Our family, my husband and my son; My friend from Cherniv and her son; my step-father’s niece and her husband.”

On March 5, Russian soldiers broke into her mother’s home and found the family hiding.

A photo of the captive Ukrainians, kept in a basement for weeks. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
A photo of the captive Ukrainians, kept in a basement for weeks. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

“There were three men with guns,” she said. “Of course, our kids were very scared. They started crying immediately. The soldiers started yelling at us, asking us, ‘Why are you hiding here?'”

Antonia says they tried to explain to the soldiers that they wanted to stay in their home — they did not want to evacuate. The soldiers demanded everyone give them their cell phones and write down their passwords, then allowed them to return to the cellar. They were told that if they left the cellar for any reason, they would be killed.

“My husband kept one cell phone, and as soon as we got to the cellar he called his mother and told her to delete him from all the chats he was a member of and post on his Facebook page that his phone was in the hands of the Russians,” Antonia said. “He did not want Russians to get his information.”

At that moment, a Russian soldier appeared and caught her husband on the phone. They immediately took him and the other adult man in the cellar away.

“Unfortunately, that was the last moment I saw my husband,” Antonia said. “I managed to tell (the Russian soldiers) not to touch my husband. ‘Don’t touch him,’ I said. These were the last words that were addressed to him and my husband.”

Related: Zelenskyy accuses Russians of ‘genocide’

Her son was sleeping when the soldiers took his dad away. When he awoke, he immediately asked Antonia where his father was.

“I had to tell him that his father was taken to prison. That he’s a prisoner now,” she said. “He was very scared and upset and he kept asking me, ‘Oh, mommy, will we see our father again? How will they treat him? I hope they will not make any pain to him. They will not torture him.’ And I tried to calm our son down. I tried to tell him that everything would be fine.”

Two days later, the soldiers returned, aiming their guns at the remaining family members and ordering them to leave the cellar and go to the village school’s basement.

“We had to run to school — there was constant shelling and explosions around us. Some gunfire. We were very scared and my son was in tears all the time. He was afraid,” Antonia explained. “Then something exploded pretty close to us and we immediately fell to the ground. I was trying to close my son with my body, and when it got quiet he actually started disturbing me and saying, ‘Mommy, mommy, let us quickly run.’ So we started running towards school again.”

Related: First lady of Ukraine shares heartbreaking photos of children killed in the war

Antonia and her family were some of the last villagers to enter the school basement.

Immediately, Antonia tried to find her husband. When she realized he was not in the basement with the others, she began to fear the worst. Determined to focus on her son and the needs of her remaining family members, she tried to find enough room for the family to stand or sit. They began to ration food — the adults often skipped meals in order to feed the children.

There was near-constant shelling and bombing while the Russians held the town's citizens captive. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
There was near-constant shelling and bombing while the Russians held the town’s citizens captive. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

“We were in the basement for 11 days,” Antonia said. “It was the longest 11 days of my life. There was no room to lie down. We tried to sleep while we were sitting next to each other.”

On March 9, a Russian soldier asked a woman in the basement to come with him — he wanted her to identify two dead bodies found in a nearby cellar. When the woman returned, she told the villagers not to worry — the bodies were not local. But a very real chill crept down Antonia’s spine.

“I went up to her and asked her if she could describe their clothes,” Antonia said. “When she described what they were wearing, I understood it was my husband.”

Related: Ukrainian official calls for no-fly zone: We need the protection of the sky

She wanted to openly weep, but she feared drawing attention to herself. If Russian soldiers had decided her husband deserved to die, she thought, what would keep them from deciding she deserved death, too?

“I could not allow myself to express any emotions,” she explained. “I had to subdue my emotions. I cried at night, but only quietly and when no one could see.” She decided not to tell her son anything. Maybe, just maybe, someone else was wearing her husband’s clothes.

“I wanted to have this little hope,” Antonia added. “I could not tell my son that his father was dead.”

The town's courageous mine-sniffing dog, who is tasked with finding explosives left behind by Russian forces. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)
The town’s courageous mine-sniffing dog, who is tasked with finding explosives left behind by Russian forces. (Courtesy Tetyana Diohtyar)

After the village was liberated, Antonia was able to communicate with family members back home in Chernihiv. She was told two dead bodies were delivered to a morgue in Chernihiv. Her husband’s cousin had identified one of the bodies as that of her husband. He sent her a picture of her husband’s body.

“I had mentally accepted that my husband was most likely dead,” Antonia said. “So when I saw that picture, the only thing I was thinking was how I was going to tell my son, and how to do it the right way.”

Antonia then called her mother, and it was during her conversation that her 7-year-old overheard her say that her husband had been killed.

“He immediately asked me, ‘So, what do you mean? You mean I don’t have a father? Where’s my father? Will he come back? Do you mean he won’t come back? You mean I will not see him again?'” she said. “And I said, ‘Yes, unfortunately you are correct. Your father is no longer alive.'”

Related: Inside the daring rescue that saved dozens of Ukrainian orphans

Before the war, Antonia had lost her step-father. When describing his death to her son, she would tell him that his grandfather was no longer living on earth, but in the sky — he was now a star. Upon learning his father had died, her young son leaned on that same understanding.

“Immediately, when he understood his father was dead, he asked me, ‘So, our father is also a star now?'” she explained. “And I told him, ‘Yes, he is a star.’ Then that night, we went out in the dark, looked up at the sky and tried to find his grandfather and father in the stars.”

Antonia and her husband celebrated their 8th wedding anniversary on Feb. 25. She says he was a wonderful man and father, who was dedicated to his job and had a lot of friends — friends who are now helping to care for Antonia and her son, who are now safely in Poland.

She says her husband also loved to fish — a hobby Antonia’s son also grew to enjoy. The two used to bet on who could catch the most fish. Now, Antonia says her son will catch fish for his father.

“My son is my purpose in life now,” she added. “I will keep living for him.”

Ukraine’s military gets more aircraft and parts to repair others, Pentagon says

Reuters

Ukraine’s military gets more aircraft and parts to repair others, Pentagon says

April 19, 2022

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Ukraine’s military has received additional aircraft as well parts for repairs to get damaged aircraft flying again, the Pentagon said on Tuesday.

Ukraine has defied expectations of allies and military experts by not only keeping its air force operational nearly two months after the start of Russia’s invasion but actually repairing aircraft and, apparently, adding to its inventory.

Pentagon spokesman John Kirby did not offer details on which countries provided aircraft, but acknowledged new transfers and said Ukraine had more operable fighter aircraft than it had two weeks ago.

“They have received additional aircraft and aircraft parts to help them get more aircraft in the air,” Kirby told a news briefing, without elaborating.

Kirby said Washington had not provided any aircraft to Kyiv.

“We certainly have helped with the trans-shipment of some additional spare parts that have helped with their aircraft needs, but we have not transported whole aircraft,” he said.

Still, that might soon change. The United States has announced plans to transfer Russian-made helicopters to Ukraine that had once been intended for Afghanistan.

More than 50 days into the war, the skies over Ukraine are still contested in part due to Ukraine’s fleet of aircraft and air defenses, including portable, shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles provided by the United States and its allies.

That has allowed Ukraine to wage a much more effective ground campaign than if Russia had air dominance and could defend its invading forces from the skies.

(Reporting by Idrees Ali and Phil Stewart; Editing by Leslie Adler and Sandra Maler)

Related:

The Hill

Ukraine gets additional aircraft, plane parts to bolster fleet

Ellen Mitchell – April 19, 2022

Ukraine has been given additional fighter aircraft and aircraft parts from other countries to increase its fleet amid Russia’s attack, the Pentagon’s top spokesperson said Tuesday.

“I would just say, without getting into what other nations are providing, that they have received additional platforms and parts to be able to increase their fleet size, their aircraft fleet size. I think I’d leave it at that,” press secretary John Kirby told reporters.

He also said Ukrainian forces have received support “to get some of their fixed wing aircraft more operable again,” and now have available to them more fixed-wing fighter aircraft than they did two weeks ago.

“That’s not by accident,” Kirby said. “That’s because other nations who have experience with those kinds of aircraft have been able to help them get more aircraft up and running.”

The United States has begun to flow into Europe security assistance for Ukraine from the $800 million lethal aid package approved by the Biden administration last week.

A flight carrying such assistance arrived in Europe yesterday, with seven more expected to arrive on the continent in the next 24 hours, a U.S. defense official told reporters earlier Tuesday.

The overall package includes 11 Mi-17 helicopters, 300 Switchblade drones, 18 Howitzers, 200 M113 armored personnel carriers, 10 counter-artillery radars, 500 Javelin anti-tank missiles, chemical attack protective equipment, body armor and helmets.

“None of these shipments sit around very long before being offloaded off of aircraft and onloaded appropriately in ground transportation to get them into Ukraine,” the official added.

Kirby said Tuesday that every day “there’s somewhere on the neighborhood of eight to 10 flights” laden with Ukrainian military aid landing at European locations.

“They’re not all U.S. flights and they’re not all coming from America — but eight to 10 flights … that material is getting put on pallets and put on a ground delivery transportation means and getting into Ukraine via a various amount of routes,” Kirby said.

Of note are the heavier systems being given of late from the U.S. and other NATO nations — including aircraft, Howitzers and tanks — due to Russia’s warnings that such military aid would be seen as interfering in the war.

Ukraine says ‘Battle of Donbas’ has begun, Russia pushing in east

Reuters

Ukraine says ‘Battle of Donbas’ has begun, Russia pushing in east

April 18, 2022

FILE PHOTO: A local resident rides a bicycle past a charred armoured vehicle in Volnovakha

(Reuters) – Russian forces launched a new offensive push along most of Ukraine’s eastern flank on Monday and the “Battle of Donbas” has now begun, Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelenskiy and senior officials said.

Ukraine’s army has been bracing for a new Russian assault on its eastern flank since Moscow withdrew its forces from near Kyiv and from Ukraine’s north late last month in order to focus on an assault in the Ukrainian region of Donbas.

“We can now say that Russian forces have started the battle of the Donbas, for which they have long prepared,” Zelenskiy said in a video address.

Ukraine Security Council Secretary Oleksiy Danilov said in televised comments: “They (Russian forces) began their attempt to start the active phase this morning.

“This morning, along almost the entire front line of the (eastern) Donetsk, Luhansk and Kharkiv regions, the occupiers attempted to break through our defences,” he said.

Russia has been bulking up its forces in the east of Ukraine using troops that it pulled out of Ukraine’s north and neighbouring Belarus, a close Russian ally.

In a post on Facebook, the Ukrainian armed forces command said that Russia’s main military force was concentrating on taking control of the entirety of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions that make up the swathe of land known as the Donbas.

“The second phase of the war has begun… Believe in our army, it is very strong,” the Ukrainian president’s chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, wrote on the Telegram messaging app.

Russia’s reinforcements have set the stage for a protracted battle that military analysts say is certain to inflict heavy losses on both sides as the Russians try to encircle Ukraine’s fighters dug in to defend the Donbas region.

(Reporting by Maria Starkova in Lviv; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Sandra Maler)

Russia launches offensive in eastern Ukraine, Mariupol on brink of collapse

Yahoo! News

Russia-Ukraine war latest: Russia launches offensive in eastern Ukraine, Mariupol on brink of collapse

Niamh Cavanagh, Producer – April 19, 2022

LONDON — Russian forces started a brutal offensive in eastern Ukraine this week and have already seized what is believed to be their first Ukrainian city as part of their “next phase” of the war, which is nearing its third month. It comes as Russia called on Kyiv forces to surrender the final pocket of resistance in Mariupol as the port city remains on the brink of collapse.

‘Battle for Donbas’
The bodies of civilians killed in Mariupol, Ukraine.
The bodies of civilians killed in the southern port city of Mariupol, Ukraine. (Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters)

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Tuesday that Russian forces had begun their long-expected offensive in a bid to take control of the country’s eastern region. “Now we can already state that the Russian troops have begun the battle for the Donbas, for which they have been preparing for a long time,” he said in an address late Monday night. The Ukrainian president added that a “significant part of the entire Russian army is now concentrated on this offensive.” Andriy Yermak, Zelensky’s chief of staff, called the latest offensive the “second phase of the war.” Zelensky has said he’s not willing to give up eastern territory in order to end the war.

The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces said Russian troops are focusing their efforts to take full control of the Donbas area. “The occupiers made an attempt to break through our defenses along nearly the entire frontline,” the General Staff said in a statement on Tuesday. Taking control of Donbas would mean that Russia would have a southern land corridor to the annexed Crimean Peninsula, which has been occupied by Kremlin forces since 2014.

First Ukrainian city seized in new offensive
Civilians with luggage board a transport.
Civilians evacuating from Kramatorsk, Ukraine, board a transport on Tuesday. (Andriy Andriyenko/AP)

Russian forces have taken control of the eastern city of Kreminna, the regional governor said Tuesday. Serhiy Gaidai, the governor of Luhansk, said in a briefing that Kyiv forces had left the city. “Kreminna is under the control of the ‘Orcs’ [Russians]. They have entered the city,” he said. “Our defenders had to withdraw. They have entrenched themselves in new positions and continue to fight the Russian army.” Gaidai added that Kremlin-led troops had attacked the city “from all sides.” Regarding the death toll from fighting, he said: “It is impossible to calculate the number of dead among the civilian population. We have official statistics — about 200 dead — but in reality there are many more.” It is believed to be the first city captured in Russia’s new offensive.

Russian officials call on troops in Mariupol to surrender steel plant
Smoke rises above Azovstal Iron and Steelworks in Mariupol, Ukraine.
Smoke rises above Azovstal Iron and Steelworks in Mariupol in this image posted on social media on Tuesday. (Mariupol City Council via Reuters)

Russia’s Defense Ministry called on all troops in the besieged city of Mariupol to surrender the Azovstal steel plant by noon on Tuesday. It is believed that Azovstal is the last major pocket of resistance in the city. “All who lay down their arms are guaranteed to remain alive,” the Kremlin’s Defense Ministry said. Moscow estimates that 400 foreign mercenaries and 2,500 Ukrainian troops are in the plant. Footage released from the City Council appeared to show the aftermath of an airstrike on the plant.

Police estimate that at least 1,000 civilians, including children, are sheltering in the building. Mykhailo Vershynin, chief of Mariupol patrol police, told CNN that Azovstal had “quite large reserves” of much-needed food and water. Meanwhile, Denys Prokopenko, the commander of the Ukrainian National Guard’s Azov Regiment, alleged that Russia had been dropping “bunker-buster” bombs on the plant. These types of bombs are designed to penetrate strong defenses and to hit targets that are underground.

U.S. military assistance arrives in Ukraine
Pallets of ammunition, weapons and other equipment bound for Ukraine.
Ammunition, weapons and other equipment bound for Ukraine are processed at Dover Air Force Base in Delaware in January. (Mauricio Campino/U.S. Air Force via AP)

The first shipments of a new U.S. military aid package have arrived in Ukraine, a senior Pentagon official confirmed on Monday. On April 13, the Biden administration announced it had authorized an additional $800 million for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine. “There have been four flights from the United States arriving into the theater just yesterday,” the senior defense official said at a briefing. A fifth flight is due to arrive from the U.S. soon.

The assistance includes 40,000 artillery rounds, 11 Mi-17 helicopters and 18 155-mm Howitzers. As it is the first time Ukrainian soldiers will have come into contact with a Howitzer, the U.S. military is expected to start training them in the coming days, a senior defense official said. Pentagon press secretary John Kirby said the first shipment had arrived in Ukraine just 48 hours after President Biden authorized the assistance, which he noted was at an “unprecedented speed.”

Cover thumbnail photo: Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters

The fight for the Donbas could turn the tide of war in Ukraine. Here’s why Russia wants it.

NBC News

The fight for the Donbas could turn the tide of war in Ukraine. Here’s why Russia wants it.

Phil McCausland and Rhoda Kwan – April 19, 2022

ON THE ROAD TO KYIV, Ukraine — For weeks Ukraine and its western allies have been waiting for Russia’s promised offensive in the Donbas — an eastern region of the country that borders Russia — in the wake of Moscow’s hasty retreat from around the capital, Kyiv.

Now, that offensive has begun.

With troops concentrated for a major ground assault, airstrikes bombarding cities and Ukraine’s forces steeling for what could be a series of decisive battles, many expect this Russian offensive to be better equipped and organized than the failed first phase of the war.

So why has Russian President Vladimir Putin refocused his military’s efforts on this region of eastern Ukraine, and what should we expect in the days and weeks to come? NBC News takes a look.

From industry to invasion

Simply put, the region is of territorial and ideological significance and making gains there could provide the Kremlin some form of victory after struggling to achieve its initial objectives in the war.

Valeriy Akimenko, a senior research associate at Conflict Studies Research Centre, said that Russia sees the land as valuable and “as historically Russian, ‘gifted’ to Ukraine during the Soviet era.”

“It is also part of the ‘Russian World’ concept Moscow aims to construct,” he added.

The region, almost twice the size of Belgium, is an industrial powerhouse filled with valuable coal and metal deposits and processing centers as well as strategically important ports on the Sea of Azov, which sits between Russia, Crimea and Ukraine.

Since Russia illegally annexed Crimea in 2014, Moscow-backed separatists have battled Ukrainian forces in the Donbas. The conflict lasted eight years and killed an estimated 14,000 people, according to the United Nations, until Russia invaded its neighbor nearly two months ago.

That move followed Putin’s recognition of the independence of two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine, the self-proclaimed “Donetsk People’s Republic” and “Luhansk People’s Republic.” They are named after the two main areas that together make up the Donbas.

“Technically, the aim of the Russian ‘operation’ is to ‘defend Donbas’, one of the narratives promoted [by the Kremlin],” Akimenko said. “Thus, the capture of Donbas would allow Russia to claim success [and] declare ‘victory,’ interim as that might be given Russia’s evidently greater ambitions.”

Putin originally appeared set on deposing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s western-leaning government and re-exerting the Kremlin’s influence over its neighbor with a sweeping military operation.

But with casualties mounting and western sanctions hitting his economy, the so-called “liberation” of Donbas might prove appealing — particularly if it arrives in time for Russia’s annual Victory Day on May 9.

While all eyes have been on Kyiv, Ukrainian forces have long been fighting in defense of eastern Ukraine.

It’s a location where some of the bloodiest battles have occurred over the past eight weeks, from towns near Kharkiv in the north to Mariupol in the south, where Ukrainian forces are desperately battling to maintain a foothold in the crucial port city under siege.

Life on the Front-Line Ukrainian City of Mariupol (Christopher Occhicone / Bloomberg via Getty Images file)
Life on the Front-Line Ukrainian City of Mariupol (Christopher Occhicone / Bloomberg via Getty Images file)

Now that Russian forces have regrouped in Ukraine’s east and south, the expectation by both Ukrainian state officials and outside observers is that Moscow will try to take the territory and begin an offensive from there, especially after its efforts to occupy Kyiv failed.

“The operating assumption is that once the effort to invade Ukraine from multiple fronts has failed, then Russia decided to recalibrate its offenses and start to focus all its forces on one region in the hope that that will enable Russia to break through Ukrainian defense lines,” said Udi Greenberg, a historian of modern Europe at Dartmouth College

Victory for Russia then could be to annex the Donbas, slicing off a significant portion of Ukraine and depriving the country of access to those resources that make the region so valuable. Or, if they believe they could see further success, Russia could use the territory as a launching pad to continue its offensive through the rest of the country.

‘Dancing in Donbas’

But Ukraine and its military, which has been able to maintain heavy resistance and produced effective counterattacks in the region, sees neither of those options as tenable.

The Ukrainian military said that over the past 24 hours its forces had repelled seven Russian attacks in the Donbas that were supported by strategic bombers, drones and surface-to-air missile systems.

The country has created a defensive belt through the heart of the region, from the north to the southeast, according to Leonid Polyakov, Ukraine’s former vice minister of defense, who has remained in Kyiv through the war.

“South of Kharkiv they tried to break through toward Kramatorsk, toward the administrative border of Donetsk Oblast,” he explained, using a word that refers to an administrative region. “Luhansk is largely under their control except for major populated areas, while Donetsk is largely under our control. We resist there for the moment.”

Polyakov said that the Ukrainians are keeping their forces highly maneuverable to find weak points in the Russian lines and attempting to encircle their foes, but he admitted they have also been forced back at points by Russia’s greater numbers.

That includes one town in the Donbas, Kreminna, where local officials said Moscow’s troops had seized control in the hours after launching their intensified assault.

The Russians have resisted Ukrainian counterattacks toward occupied territory in Donbas in Kherson, a city on the Black Sea, and Zaporizhia, an industrial city further north on the Dnipro River. That has become a key offensive line for Russian forces, as it creates a corridor to supply chains maintained in Crimea.

The fighting can often see the two sides push each other back and forth without any significant change in the overall battlefield picture.

“This is what we call ‘dancing in Donbas,’” Polyakov said.

TOPSHOT-UKRAINE-RUSSIA-CONFLICT (Fadel Senna / AFP via Getty Images)
TOPSHOT-UKRAINE-RUSSIA-CONFLICT (Fadel Senna / AFP via Getty Images)

Ukrainians remain optimistic that they can win this war. But they see the fight as one not just being waged on the ground and in the air with Russia, but as a constant struggle to secure more support from their partners in the West that they say could prove decisive.

Oleksiy Arestovich, an adviser to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said in a social media post that the battle for Donbas was essential to the country and its “outcome will determine the fate of this phase of the war.”

While Russian forces may occupy cities and towns and kill Ukrainian troops, he remained confident that the Ukrainian military would maintain an “active, mobile defense” and beat back their invaders.

“The forces that the Russians have accumulated in the Donbas region are not enough to achieve their goals, these forces are disparate and weakened,” he said. “The only justification for this attack is the political will to move forward and the inability of the military to convince the Russian political leadership that they cannot achieve their goals.”

The main challenge for Ukraine remains the same: acquiring enough weapons for the battles ahead.

Polyakov said they have enough troops, pilots, gunners, missile crews and tank crews, but they don’t have enough ammunition, jets, guns, missiles and tanks to keep up the resistance and push the Russians from their land.

“There is a direct link in how much our civilians suffer in captured regions like Donbas and how quickly our partners and allies can overcome their bureaucracy and deliver what they can to us,” he said.

“It’s as simple as that.”

How 12-Year-Old Orphan Was Unwittingly Sucked Into Russia’s Ukraine Propaganda: ‘She Is So Scared’

People

How 12-Year-Old Orphan Was Unwittingly Sucked Into Russia’s Ukraine Propaganda: ‘She Is So Scared’

Virginia Chamlee – April 19, 2022

Mariupol
Mariupol

SERGEY BOBOK/AFP via Getty Mariupol

Amid Russia’s continued invasion of Ukraine, a 12-year-old orphaned girl has somehow found herself unwittingly at the center of the country’s propaganda efforts, a new report details.

According to a CNN story published Sunday, Kira Obedinsky — whose mother died when she was a child — found herself parent-less when her dad was killed in Russia’s assault on Mariupol, one of the hardest-hit parts of Ukraine in recent weeks.

CNN reports that, days after her father was shot to death on March 17, Kira and her dad’s girlfriend attempted to leave on foot, but she was injured in a landmine explosion. And that’s when things took a turn.

Kira was taken to a hospital controlled by Moscow-backed separatists and, in footage released by Russian media, could be seen looking happy while talking about how she was allowed to call her grandfather.

While the video is meant to send a positive message, the girl’s grandfather, named Oleksander, told CNN it was a false one. The reality, he said, was that Kira is alone, without any family, and was relocated without her will.

He told the network that Russians forces had taken away Kira’s documents and told her she would be provided with new ones in Russia, where she would eventually be taken to an orphanage — an account adding to others of Ukrainians forcibly moved to Russia during the war.

Oleksander added to CNN that, in an audio message Kira sent him, she could be heard saying: “I haven’t seen you for so long. I want to cry.”

Reportedly speaking to The Guardian, the 67-year-old Oleksander said his granddaughter seemed okay when he able to connect with her via video call.

“She was in a hospital bed, she had shrapnel wounds around her ear and face and her legs, but she seemed okay,” he told the newspaper. “I was so relieved. But she told me she’s in Donetsk [a separatist region in eastern Ukraine], and it seems like she’s on her own. She told me they’re taking her to a Russian city.”

Elsewhere in the interview, however, he said his granddaughter seemed “scared” by the confusing situation.

“She is so scared. She doesn’t know where or why she is going,” Oleksander said. “I can’t say for sure what she understands about what’s going on and the war … She’s seen people killed in front of her, explosions and shelling. She just wants to come back to her family and come back home.”

RELATED VIDEO: Maks Chmerkovskiy Returns to Poland to Help Refugees Escaping Ukraine — ‘It Is Getting Worse’

RELATED: Ukraine Accuses Russia of Taking Civilian as Hostages Back to Moscow

A Ukrainian official claimed last month that more than 400,000 people in the country had been taken to Russia against their will as the war rages.

Lyudmyla Denisova, Ukraine’s ombudsperson monitoring human rights, said those people could be used as “hostages” to pressure the country to relent as it defends itself from attack. Russia has insisted that the people actually wanted to leave Ukraine.

The number of those relocated includes 84,000 children, the Associated Press reported in March.

Russian forces were also blamed for taking at least one entire Ukrainian city — Chernihiv — hostage by cutting off its access to the capital city of Kyiv.

In Mariupol, where Obedinsky was living prior to the war, the situation has been similarly dire.

Just last month, the Mariupol city council said that “several thousand” residents had been forcibly taken to Russia, CNN reported.

According to the network, the city issued a statement in which it claimed “the occupiers illegally took people from the Livoberezhny district and from the shelter in the sports club building, where more than a thousand people (mostly women and children) were hiding from the constant bombing.”

The statement added that some of those residents were taken to camps, where Russians checked their phones and documents, then to remote cities in Russia, per CNN.

Children of Bucha
Children of Bucha

Rodrigo Abd/AP Photo Neighbors wait for a free food delivery in Bucha on the outskirts of Kyiv, Ukraine, on April 8.

RELATED: Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy Wants His Kids to Know Soldiers Are Dying to Keep His Family Alive

Russian forces launched their large-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24 — marking the first major land conflict in Europe in decades.

Details of the fighting change by the day, but hundreds of civilians have already been reported dead or wounded, including children. Millions of Ukrainians have also fled, the United Nations says.

“You don’t know where to go, where to run, who you have to call. This is just panic,” Liliya Marynchak, a 45-year-old teacher in Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, told PEOPLE of the moment her city was bombed — one of numerous accounts of bombardment by the Russians.

The invasion, ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin, has drawn condemnation around the world and increasingly severe economic sanctions against Russia.

With NATO forces massing in the region around Ukraine, various countries have also pledged aid or military support to the resistance. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called for peace talks — so far unsuccessful — while urging his country to fight back.

Putin insists Ukraine has historic ties to Russia and he is acting in the best security interests of his country. Zelenskyy vowed not to bend.

“Nobody is going to break us, we’re strong, we’re Ukrainians,” he told the European Union in a speech in the early days of the fighting, adding, “Life will win over death. And light will win over darkness.”

Russia’s special-operations forces are under fire in Ukraine

Business Insider

Russia’s special-operations forces are under fire in Ukraine

Stavros Atlamazoglou – April 18, 2022

Russian Spetsnaz troops military parade
Russian Spetsnaz troops march through Red Square in a Victory Day military parade, May 9, 2021.Mikhail Svetlov/Getty Images
  • Amid its struggles in Ukraine, Russia’s military has relied heavily on its most highly trained troops.
  • The fighting has taken a outsize toll on those troops, including Russia’s famed Spetsnaz special operators.
  • Moscow may rely on those operators even more as it renews its campaign with a focus on eastern Ukraine.

Russian forces have struggled in Ukraine, failing to achieve any of their primary objectives after two months of fighting.

Moscow has reduced its ambitions, focusing on eastern Ukraine. It appears to be renewing its offensive, but its performance has already affected assessments of its military prowess, calling into question its status as a “near peer” force.

Among the Russian units affected are the famed Spetsnaz. During and after the Cold War, these special operators achieved legendary status in the West. Recent successes in Crimea and Syria seemed to add to their credentials.

Alongside the rest of the Russian military, however, their reputation is being tarnished in Ukraine.

The city of Irpin, only miles from Kyiv, was a base Russian special-operations forces until Ukrainian forces ousted the Russians in late March. The brutal fight for the port city of Mariupol — the kind of strategic target where Moscow has concentrated its most capable forces — appears to have taken an outsize toll on Russia’s special operators.

Spetsnaz: Russia’s special operators
Russian spetsnaz special operations troops
Troops with the Russian military’s 14th Separate Special Purpose Brigade during an exercise, February 15, 2017.Russian Ministry of Defense/Mil.ru

Moscow established the Spetsnaz, its first special-operations unit, in the 1950s to conduct strategic missions.

Spetsnaz initially had a strategic role, but now every special-operations unit in the Russian military, law enforcement, and emergency and security services are called Spetsnaz.

In general, military Spetsnaz units are a light infantry airborne force that can act as shock troops. A few elite Spetsnaz units, such as Alpha and Vympel Groups, have strategic missions, such as counterterrorism, counterproliferation, and the security of nuclear installations.

There has been limited reporting on what Russian special-operations units have done in Ukraine or how they’ve performed, but their missions there may include special reconnaissance, direct-action operations, and unconventional warfare.

One of the few advantages that Russia’s military has leveraged against Ukraine is its long-range weapons. Russia has launched more than 1,500 ballistic and cruise missiles at Ukrainian targets.

Russian spetsnaz special operations troops
Troops of the Russian military’s 2nd Separate Special Purpose Brigade, a Spetsnaz GRU brigade, during an exercise.Konstantin Morozov/Russian Ministry of Defense/Mil.ru

Russian special operators could infiltrate close to those targets and use specialized equipment to help guide the munition. Moscow’s utter disregard for collateral damage means it may not be using such targeting assistance, but that skill set could still be used if the Kremlin wants to take out the Ukrainian leadership with a strategic strike.

Russian special-operations forces might also be conducting direct-action operations, such as raids and ambushes, in pursuit of tactical-level goals, such as capturing a city block.

Generally, it would be folly to use special operators for conventional operations, as their potential casualties would squander the time and expense used to train them to a high level, but the lack of progress may prompt Russian commanders to do so, especially in urban settings where the close-quarters-combat training of Russian commandos might make the difference between winning and losing.

Russia may also use its special-operations forces for unconventional warfare and asymmetric operations. Russian forces have been supporting separatist forces in eastern Ukraine for years, and that effort may expand as Moscow redirects its military campaign toward that region.

Russian special operators may also target Ukrainian strategic targets, such as airfields or fuel and arms depots. There have already been reports of Russian naval commandos attacking a Ukrainian military intelligence ship.

Learning from the enemy
Russian spetsnaz special operations troops
Members of the Russian military’s 22nd Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade during an exercise, November 24, 2017.Russian Ministry of Defense/Mil.ru

When it comes to special-operations forces, the Russian military has had ample opportunity to learn from the US.

For the past 20 years, US special operators have been at the tip of the spear. Their ability to conduct high-reward missions with less military or political risk than larger conventional units has made them a go-to option for American policymakers.

Russia’s military began a major reorganization in 2008, part of which was the formation of a dedicated special-operations command organization. Created in 2009, the Russian Special Operations Forces Command is a strategic-level special-operations organization tasked with the hardest, most important missions.

“The Russians aren’t stupid. They would have seen how successful we’ve been employing SOF [special-operations forces] downrange during the GWOT [Global War on Terror] and have taken their notes. That’s what we would do,” a retired Delta Force operator told Insider.

What Russian forces have learned in terms of military doctrine isn’t apparent, but open-source information showed “how our operations have influenced their equipment and training,” said the retired operator, speaking anonymously because they still work with their unit.

Russian spetsnaz special operations troops
Troops of the Russian military’s 22nd Separate Guards Special Purpose Brigade during an exercise, November 24, 2017.Russian Ministry of Defense/Mil.ru

“It’s funny because sometimes it’s hard to distinguish between an American and Russian operator because they tend to both wear MultiCam [camouflage], high-cut helmets, and carry similar assault loadouts. It’s only from the weapons that you can really tell the difference,” the former operator added.

Moscow drew on the creation of the US’s Joint Special Operations Command, which is a component of US Special Operations Command, as a model for its new command.

Although smaller than Russia’s new command, JSOC contains the US military’s special missions units, the most elite special-operations organizations that comprise the US national mission strike force.

Moscow wanted to replicate the effectiveness of the JSOC, bringing together its top special-operations units to facilitate better command and control. Even Spetsnaz units from the GRU, Russia’s military intelligence agency, were transferred to the new organization, though they were reassigned to the GRU in 2013.

“People in SOF tend to be cut from the same cloth. The training, mission sets, and funding might be different — and in some cases worlds apart — but the people at the highest levels tend to be very similar,” the retired operator said.

Stavros Atlamazoglou is a defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate.

Putin’s Ugly War Has Believers Turning on Their Holy Men

Daily Beast

Putin’s Ugly War Has Believers Turning on Their Holy Men

Anna Nemtsova – April 18, 2022

KYIV—Vladimir Putin’s onslaught has pushed Tatiana Bondarenko, a 53-year-old Ukrainian Orthodox Christian, to her breaking point. First, she was forced to flee her home town in Donetsk in the 2014 war. Then, in March, she had to leave Mariupol after her husband died in crossfire shelling and the city was all but wiped out by Putin’s army. Her life, she says, is ruined, and her heart broken.

On Thursday, Bondarenko was weeping on the steps of Kyiv’s Pokrovsky Monastery, one of 12,000 Ukrainian Orthodox parishes still serving under the Moscow Patriarchate (UOC-MP) led by Russian Patriarch Kirill. She told The Daily Beast she still finds comfort being near the monastery, but her feelings about the institution and the leaders of the church have changed drastically since the start of the war.

Putin’s Holy Man Pushed for the ‘Eradication’ of Ukraine

Bondarenko says she doesn’t want her church to have anything to do with Russian Orthodox leader Kirill any longer. “Please, my God, Patriarch Kirill has blessed this war, he is not the one who has a moral right to tell us that ‘God is love,’” she said. “He has blessed Putin’s friend, commander Zolotov and the Russian soldiers to kill us, Orthodox believers of Ukraine,” Bondarenko added with tears welling in her eyes.

Photo Illustration by Thomas Levinson/The Daily Beast/Getty
Photo Illustration by Thomas Levinson/The Daily Beast/Getty

She was referring to a recent ceremony in which the Russian Patriarch prayed with President Vladimir Putin’s ex-bodyguard, Victor Zolotov, who is now the commander of the Russian National Guard fighting in Ukraine. “Let it inspire the young warriors who take the oath, embark on the path of defending the Fatherland,” the patriarch said in the Moscow ceremony last month. Zolotov, in turn, complained to the Russian Orthodox Church leader that “not everything is going as fast as we would like.” The commander then expressed his wishes that the prayer would protect the Russian Army “and accelerate our victory.”

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>Ukrainian worshippers gather to attend a mass at Church of the Most Holy Apostles Peter and Paul in Lviv, Ukraine on April 17, 2022.</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Ozge Elif Kizil/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images</div>
Ukrainian worshippers gather to attend a mass at Church of the Most Holy Apostles Peter and Paul in Lviv, Ukraine on April 17, 2022.Ozge Elif Kizil/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

The Russian Orthodox Church and its leader have played a huge role in garnering public support for Putin’s war in Ukraine, where about 10 million Orthodox believers still pray in Moscow Patriarchate-affiliated churches. Ukrainian Orthodox Christians whose lives have been upended by the war are left to grapple with the fact that the leader has all but condoned the murder of thousands of innocent civilians.

Now, the cracks are starting to show: More than 400 Ukrainian priests have spoken out against Patriarch Kirill for his support of the war, demanding he be put on trial by the Council of Eastern Patriarchs. Adding to that, scores of Orthodox parishes in Ukraine that have long been loyal to the Moscow Patriarchate have begun to withdraw from the UOC-MP, changing their jurisdictional affiliations to join the independent Ukrainian Orthodox Church instead.

Lonely Putin Is Losing Control of His Own Spiraling Minions

“Kirill has committed a crime: he blessed murders of innocent people,” Metropolitan Oleksandr, one of the most senior clerics of the independent Ukrainian Orthodox Church in Kyiv, told The Daily Beast. He was on his way to a parish that recently declared its independence from the UOC-MP.

“I understand their decision, the criminal Russian army killed thousands of innocent women, children, men in Ukrainian, my own relatives are in the occupied Mariupol, I don’t know if my godfather is alive. Last I heard he and his family were making food on fire outside their ruined house.” His voice cracked when he spoke about his family members.

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>An aerial view taken on April 12, 2022, shows the city of Mariupol, during Russia's military invasion launched on Ukraine.</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Andrey Borodulin/AFP via Getty Images</div>
An aerial view taken on April 12, 2022, shows the city of Mariupol, during Russia’s military invasion launched on Ukraine.Andrey Borodulin/AFP via Getty Images

One Ukrainian priest and his wife, who belonged to a church in the separatist region of Luhansk that follows the Moscow Patriarchate, told The Daily Beast that the church’s guidelines were so jarring that they made the decision to leave it altogether.

“We were allowed to pray for Ukraine for eight years, while Luhansk was a breakaway republic but in February, when the war began, we were told we could not pray for Ukraine any longer, which was just against our beliefs,” the priest’s wife told The Daily Beast while on a bus to Lviv. “The Russian Orthodox Church made us make the decision to run away with our three children. There are more and more priests who disagree with the Moscow Orthodox Church in Ukraine.”

So far at least 16 dioceses out of 53 parishes loyal to the Moscow Patriarchate have stopped praying for Patriarch Kirill. Many are unhappy that the primate of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church, Metropolitan Onufriy, continues to pray for the Russian holy leader at Kyiv’s Pechersk Lavra, the most ancient monastery on the territory of Ukraine built in 1051.

“It is hard to imagine how Father Onufriy or any other priests are still praying for Patriarch Kirill… My 91-year-old grandmother, who has lived under German occupation during World War II and now under Russian occupation, tells me Russian soldiers looted homes, shops and killed three of her neighbors,” Metropolitan Oleksandr told The Daily Beast. “Moscow accuses us and other Orthodox believers of hate but we do not feel hate, we feel righteous anger… every priest who rejects the subordination of the Moscow Patriarchate gets condemned by them and banned from serving, soon they will ban us from breathing.”

By the evening on Thursday, four parishes from Chernihiv and Cherkasy regions requested Metropolitan Oleksandr to allow them to join the autonomous Ukrainian Orthodox Church.

“Just in one day today four parishes made a decision to quit the church of the Moscow patriarchate,” Metropolitan Oleksandr told The Daily Beast. “It is time for all parishes of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church to become independent from Moscow.”

Putin is planning a victory parade on May 9 — no matter what

Opinion: Putin is planning a victory parade on May 9 — no matter what

Opinion by Frida Ghitis – April 18, 2022

Frida Ghitis, a former CNN producer and correspondent, is a world affairs columnist. She is a weekly opinion contributor to CNN, a contributing columnist to The Washington Post and a columnist for World Politics Review. The views expressed in this commentary are her own.

(CNN)When Ukrainian forces repelled Russian troops aiming to capture the capital, Kyiv, they said they found some interesting baggage among the detritus of the Russian retreat — abandoned ammunition and armor, and inside the military vehicles, Russian parade uniforms. “They expected to get Kyiv in two days and then have a parade here,” said Oleksandr Hruzevych, the deputy chief of staff of Ukraine’s ground forces.

Russian President Vladimir Putin couldn’t get a parade in the Ukrainian capital, but a parade is coming soon to Moscow and, whatever happens on the battlefield, the Russian President is likely to declare victory during that event three weeks from now.

May 9 is when Russia marks one of its most important national holidays, Victory Day — the anniversary of Germany’s surrender at the end of World War II. The Kremlin has used that anniversary for more than 70 years to commemorate the successful heroism against the Nazis but, just as importantly, to proclaim to the Russian people and to the country’s friends and foes alike that Moscow’s leaders rule over a great and mighty power.h

Victory Day is all about military muscle, and when it comes in the middle of a war — even one that Russians are forbidden to call a “war” and one that state propaganda falsely claims is going perfectly according to plan — there’s almost no alternative but to use the occasion to boast of victory.

US intelligence assessments, Russian foreign policy analysts and common sense all indicate that Putin will use May 9 as a sort of self-imposed deadline in Ukraine. It’s not a deadline to win the war — that will likely not happen by then — but to pretend Russia has won something. Something major. Something important.

What form Putin's revenge against the US could take

What form Putin’s revenge against the US could take

The campaign over the next three weeks will focus sharply on Ukraine’s east, the Donbas region by the Russian border, where there’s a larger concentration of ethnic Russians and Russian speakers, and where Russian-backed separatists have been waging war against the Ukrainian state for eight years.

That’s where Putin will seek a face-saving success, a concrete victory he can take to the Russian people to tell them he is still the larger-than-life leader whose “special military operation,” with all the hardship it is causing for Russians — let alone the calamity it is inflicting on Ukraine — has been worth the price tag. Unfortunately, his desperation for a win likely means that next three weeks are sure to bring even worse death and destruction to Ukraine.Enter email to sign up for the CNN Opinion newsletter.

So far, Putin’s war has produced almost exactly the opposite of what he wanted — strengthening Ukraine’s sense of nationhood, fortifying and unifying NATO and the West, tarnishing the image of Russia’s military forces and strategists, and on and on. And yet, Putin has been mostly successful at concealing those facts from the Russian people, shutting down independent media and prompting Russia’s genuine journalists to flee the country. That has left almost all Russians consuming only state-controlled media, which is little more than propaganda.

But even dictators need to worry about their domestic standing. If the Russian people view Putin’s Ukrainian adventure as the disaster it has been so far, his hold on power could weaken.

Why the 'Battle of Donbas' will be a critical moment in the war's outcome

Why the ‘Battle of Donbas’ will be a critical moment in the war’s outcome

Even under state-controlled information, some facts can eventually become impossible to conceal. Soldiers will return home to tell their stories to friends and relatives. Thousands will not return. And a small segment of the population may still get its news from abroad. Meanwhile, the Russian people, suffering in dire straits due to sanctions and the departure of many foreign companies from their country, may soon reach an economic breaking point. Either way, slowly the truth will seep in.

That’s why Putin urgently needs to show his campaign as triumphant.

On May 9, Putin almost certainly will stand in Red Square, on a stage built in front of the mausoleum where Soviet leader Vladimir Lenin’s embalmed body has lain on display for more than 90 years, and pretend all is well on his Western front. He will ceremonially review the troops — however many the military can spare from the massive deployment in Ukraine.

We will see if Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu makes an appearance. Until last year, he played a major role, his chest bedecked with medals, resplendent after bloody victories in Syria and Chechnya. These days, he leads a humiliated force and persistent rumors of his demise refuse to die.

Russia was built on an empire of lies. That's the biggest hurdle to peace talks

Russia was built on an empire of lies. That’s the biggest hurdle to peace talks

On that day, Putin will likely announce something about Donbas. Perhaps he will declare it has been “liberated” from the “Nazis” whom he claims rule Ukraine (an absurdly false claim, given the Ukrainian President is Jewish himself). Maybe Russia will hold a phony referendum, as it did after it captured Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in 2014. If Russia releases a referendum showing most people in Donbas eager to join Russia, remember a recent independent survey does not support that claim.

Not long after the 2021 Victory Day parade, Putin released an article arguing that Russians and Ukrainians are the same people. It was an ominous sign that Putin would try to erase Ukrainian identity, nationhood and its very borders soon after. Most people in Donbas, the one area of Ukraine where one would expect sympathy for Putin’s historical analysis, soundly reject that view. In an exclusive CNN poll, fewer than one in five agreed that Russians and Ukrainians are “one people.” Still, that is a key element or rationale for Putin’s war.

Another strategic victory for Putin could come if the port city of Mariupol falls, as Russian forces try to establish a land corridor between the territories they control in Donbas and Crimea. That would strengthen Moscow’s control over a large segment of Ukraine, amounting to much more than a symbolic victory. It would be a moral, strategic and economic blow to Ukrainian sovereignty.

To resist the renewed onslaught, Ukraine needs even more help from the West. And Ukraine needs it fast. Putin’s desire to declare victory in three weeks will bring more suffering. But it has also put the Russian leader in potential peril. Whatever he announces on May 9 has to be credible. Otherwise, Putin knows he will become dangerously vulnerable.

After all, the parade is happening in Moscow, not in Kyiv.

Russia faces first foreign default since 1918 – here’s how it could complicate Putin’s ability to wage war in Ukraine

The Conservation

Russia faces first foreign default since 1918 – here’s how it could complicate Putin’s ability to wage war in Ukraine

Michael A. Allen, Associate Professor of Political Science, Boise State University and Matthew DiGiuseppe, Assistant Professor of International Relations, Leiden University – April 18, 2022

<span class="caption">Replacing ships like the Moskva will be pricey. The flagship of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet recently sank after suffering damage.</span> <span class="attribution"><a class=
Replacing ships like the Moskva will be pricey. The flagship of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet recently sank after suffering damage. Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP

Russia may be on the cusp of its first default on its foreign debt since the Bolsheviks ousted Czar Nicholas II a century ago.

On April 14, 2022, Moody’s Investors Service warned the country’s decision to make payments on dollar-issued debt in rubles would constitute a default because it violates the terms of the contract. A 30-day grace period allows Russia until May 4 to convert the payments to dollars to avoid default.

A default is one of the clearest signals that the sanctions imposed by the U.S. and other countries are having their intended effect on the Russian economy. But will it have any impact on Russia’s ability to wage war in Ukraine?– ADVERTISEMENT -https://s.yimg.com/rq/darla/4-10-1/html/r-sf-flx.html

We asked Michael Allen and Matthew DiGiuseppe, both experts on political economy and conflict, to explain the consequences of default and what it would mean for Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war.

Why did Russia default on its debt?

The Russian government has a total of US billion worth of debt in dollars and euros, half of which is owned by foreign investors. Russia had an April 4 deadline to pay about 0 million in interest and principle to the holders of two bonds issued in dollars.

Russia has plenty of cash – it collects the equivalent of over billion a day from its oil and gas deliveries alone – but has limited access to dollars because of sanctions imposed by the U.S. The Biden administration had been allowing Russia to use some of the foreign reserves it had previously frozen to make debt payments. The U.S. changed course on April 5, when it blocked Russia from using dollar reserves held at American banks to make the debt payments.

That gave Russia little choice but to try to make the payments in rubles, whose value has been very volatile since the invasion. If Russia doesn’t switch the payments to dollars by May 4, the government will be in default on its foreign obligations for the first time since 1918, when the Bolshevik revolutionaries took over Russia and refused to pay the country’s international creditors. Russia also defaulted in 1998 but only on its domestic debt.

<span class="caption">The last time Russia defaulted on foreign debt was during the Russian Revolution.</span> <span class="attribution"><a class=
The last time Russia defaulted on foreign debt was during the Russian Revolution. AP Photo
What are the consequences of default?

When a country defaults on a foreign loan, international investors typically become unwilling or unable to lend more money to it. Or they demand much higher interest rates.

Whether because of higher interest costs or an inability to borrow, this forces a country to cut spending. Less government spending reduces economic activityincreases unemployment and slows growth. While some of these effects, like weaker economic growth, are often short-lived, other consequences can haunt a country for years. Trade with other countries remains below normal for an average of 15 years after a default, while full exclusion from capital markets typically lasts just over eight years.

For example, when Argentina defaulted in 2001, the peso plunged, the economy shrank and inflation soaredRiots over food broke out all over the country, leading to the president’s resignation. Although Argentina’s economy had recovered by 2007, the country remained unable to borrow from foreign investors, which led to default again in 2014.

What does this mean for Russia? The country was already locked out of international borrowing markets because of sanctions. A government official recently said Russia would also avoid borrowing domestically, because a default would lead to “cosmic” interest rates.

But its significant revenue from sometimes-discounted sales of oil and gas may help offset the need for borrowing in the short term, especially if it can continue to find willing buyers like India and China. On April 14, 2022, Putin acknowledged sanctions were disrupting exports and raising costs.

Does Russia care if it defaults?

The Russian government has been trying hard to avoid default.

Until April 5, it was using its precious dollars to stay current on its bond payments. And before its invasion it had built up a significant reserve of foreign currency, in large part to allow it to continue to pay back debt borrowed in dollars and euros even amid sanctions. Russia has even threatened to take legal action if sanctions force it into default.

As odd as it may sound, Russia is likely worried about its reputation – at least among bond investors.

A default by a sovereign borrower establishes a bad reputation that can take years to rehabilitate, as Argentina’s experience shows.

And the long-term impact could be worse for Russia. The reason Russia is in this bind is because it chose to invade Ukraine, despite repeated warnings that doing so would result in severe economic and financial sanctions.

So creditors might wonder if Russia will always prioritize its foreign policy interests over the interests of creditors and raise borrowing costs permanently. If so, they may find it difficult to borrow for years to come.

Another risk is that a default may enable creditors to seize Russia’s overseas assets as a form of repayment. International sanctions have already enabled countries to seize or freeze Russian assets, which could be used to pay off outstanding debts.

One count suggests that 50% of creditors in recent sovereign debt cases have attempted to seize assets as an alternative to payment.

What does this mean for Russia’s war in Ukraine?

As long as there has been debt, governments have waged wars with other people’s money. In fact, debt has become so vital as a source of power that countries rarely fight without it.

Around 88% of wars from 1823 through 2003 have been at least partly financed with funds borrowed from banks and other investors. This reality even bleeds into fantasy worlds, like “Game of Thrones,” in which financing from the Iron Bank of Braavos is vital to financing the wars of Westeros.

Our own research has shown that countries that have defaulted on their debts or have poor credit ratings find it difficult to build military capacity and, consequently, are more reluctant to take up arms against other nations. Related work has found that countries with lower borrowing costs tend to win wars – though this effect is stronger for democracies.

One reason is that borrowing allows countries to overcome the guns-versus-butter trade-off: More money spent on the military means less for its citizens’ welfare, which can hurt a government’s ability to stay in power. Foreign loans can help overcome this problem, but losing access to credit forces a government to choose.
In the short term, however, a default is not likely to alter the outcome of Russia’s war – or force Putin to make any unpopular trade-offs – especially if Russia is able to achieve its new and more limited military objectives in the eastern Donbas region quickly.

This will change the longer the war goes on. The war was expected to last only a few days, but a stronger-than-expected Ukrainian defense has pushed the conflict into its eighth week. Early estimates found that a prolonged war could end up costing Russia over billion a day, including both direct and indirect expenses, like loss of economic output.

If Ukraine becomes a lengthy war of attritionas some analysts expect, then Russia’s inability to borrow money will weaken its ability to sustain, supply and reinforce its position in Ukraine – especially if oil prices fall or the European Union boycotts or reduces its dependence on Russian fuel.

Roman statesman Cicero wrote: “Nervos belli, infinitam pecuniam,” which loosely translates as “Successful war-waging capacity requires unlimited cash.”

And that means borrowed money. Wars usually end quickly without it.