Come to the ‘war cry party’: How social media helped drive mayhem in Brazil

The Washington Post

Come to the ‘war cry party’: How social media helped drive mayhem in Brazil

Elizabeth Dwoskin – January 8, 2023

Supporters of former president Jair Bolsonaro clash with police during a protest outside the Planalto Palace in Brasilia on Sunday. (Eraldo Peres/AP)

In the weeks leading up to Sunday’s violent attacks on Brazil’s congress and other government buildings, the country’s social media channels surged with calls to attack gas stations, refineries and other infrastructure, as well as for people to come to a “war cry party in the capital,” according to Brazilian social media researchers.

Online influencers who deny the results of the country’s recent presidential election used a particular phrase to summon “patriots” to what they called a “Festa da Selma” – tweaking the word “selva,” a military term for war cry, by substituting an “m” for the “v” in hopes of avoiding detection from Brazilian authorities, who have wide latitude to arrest people for “anti-democratic” postings online. “Festa” is the Portuguese word for “party.”

Organizers on Telegram posted dates, times and routes for “Liberty Caravans” that would pick people up in at least six Brazilian states and ferry them to the party, according to posts viewed by The Washington Post. One post said, “Attention Patriots! We are organizing for a thousand buses. We need 2 million people in Brasilia.”

That online activism culminated in busloads of people landing in the capital Sunday, where they stormed and vandalized three major government buildings, reportedly setting fires and stealing weapons in the most significant assault on the country’s democratic institutions since the country’s 1964 military coup.

Brazilian analysts have long warned of the risk in Brazil of an incident akin to the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. In the months and weeks leading up to the country’s presidential election in October – in which leftist Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva defeated the right-wing incumbent, Jair Bolsonaro – social media channels were flooded with disinformation, along with calls in Portuguese to “Stop the Steal” and cries for a military coup should Bolsonaro lose the election.

On TikTok, researchers found that five out of eight of the top search results for the keyword “ballots” were for terms such as “rigged ballots” and “ballots being manipulated.” At the same time, Facebook and Instagram directed thousands of users who plugged in basic search terms about the election toward groups questioning the integrity of the vote. On Telegram, an organizing hub for Brazil’s far right, a viral video taken down by authorities called for the murder of the children of leftist Lula supporters.

In the days following the final election tally on Oct. 30, Bolsonaro supporters who rejected the results blocked major highways across the country. These blockades morphed into demonstrations in dozens of cities, where supporters camped out in front of military bases for weeks. Some held signs saying “Stolen Election” in English, a testament to the close ties between right-wing movements in both countries.

Though Lula’s inauguration last week took place largely without incident, calls for violence and destruction have accelerated online in recent weeks, said researcher Michele Prado, an independent analyst who studies digital movements and the Brazilian far right.

“For years now, our country has been going through a very strong process of radicalizing people to extremist views – principally online,” she said. “But in the last two weeks, I’ve seen ever-growing calls from people incentivizing extremism and calling for direct action to dismantle public infrastructure. Basically, people are saying we need to stop the country in its tracks and generate chaos.”

Posts demanding a coup, along with common pro-Bolsonaro hashtags claiming “election fraud,” and “stolen election,” have circulated on all social media services. The most violent rhetoric as well as the most direct organizing has taken place on the largely unmoderated messaging service Telegram.

Researchers in Brazil said Twitter in particular was a place to watch because it is heavily used by a circle of right-wing influencers – Bolsonaro allies who continue to promote election fraud narratives. Several influencers have had their accounts banned in Brazil and now reside in the United States. Bolsonaro himself was on vacation in Florida on Sunday.

Billionaire Elon Musk, who completed his acquisition of Twitter in late October, fired the company’s entire staff in Brazil except for a few salespeople, said a person familiar with the firings who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive matters. Among those fired in early November included eight people, based in Sao Paulo, who moderated content on the platform to catch posts that broke its rules against incitement to violence and misinformation, the person said. The person said they were not aware of any teams actively moderating rule-breaking content on Twitter in Brazil.

Criticism specifically targeting Alexandre de Moraes, a judge at the Superior Electoral Court and the Supreme Federal Court who is despised by Bolsonaro supporters because he has blocked many prominent right-wing leaders from posting online, have also stepped up since the election, Prado and others said.

Footage circulating on social media from Sunday’s demonstration showed rioters pulling a chair from a government building, upon which they placed the seal of the Brazilian republic. One rioter shouted, “Look everyone, it’s Big Alexander’s chair!,” using a derogatory nickname for Moraes. Expletives followed, according to the video. It could not be confirmed if the chair had been taken from Moraes’s chambers.

Despite their seeming similarities, Brazilian researchers said, Bolsonaro supporters are careful not to draw too many comparisons to Jan. 6 in the United States because doing so could trigger arrest for inciting anti-democratic acts, a crime in Brazil. If Jan. 6 is referenced, as it was in a handful of posts this week, the utterances appear in code, said Viktor Chagas, a professor at Fluminense Federal University in Rio de Janeiro state who researches online, far-right movements.

Still, Chagas said, Sunday’s riot was “a clear attempt to emulate the invasion of the U.S. Capitol, as a reproduction of Trumpist movements and a symbolic signal of strength and transnational connections from the global far-right.”

Chagas noted that Jan. 9 is an important nationalist symbol in Brazil, marking the day the country’s first ruler, Emperor Dom Pedro I, declared that he would not return to Portugal, in what is popularly known as “I Will Stay” Day.

“It is as if Bolsonarists were equating Bolsonaro with D. Pedro I, and indicating that the former government will remain,” he said. Some posts have also referenced “I will stay day,” indicating that the demonstrations would probably continue through Monday, he added.

In a tweet on Sunday, Bolsonaro – a prolific social media user who has been relatively quiet since his election defeat – denounced the attacks: “Peaceful demonstrations, by law, are part of democracy,” he tweeted, hours after the assault began. “However, depredations and invasions of public buildings as occurred today, as well as those practiced by the left in 2013 and 2017, were outside of the law.”

Brazilian researchers said that among Bolsonaro supporters, a counternarrative had begun to circulate Sunday, blaming the Lula government and people from Lula’s party for infiltrating peaceful, democratic demonstrations to turn the country against supporters of Bolsonaro. The counternarrative also had echoes of the Jan. 6 insurrection, in which many Trump supporters blamed left-wing activists for the violence.

The mayhem Sunday was “a disaster,” said Paulo Figueiredo Filho, a presenter for the right-wing channel Jovem Pan who lives in Florida and has had his social media accounts canceled by Moraes. “It is Moraes’s wet dream.”

Breakfast Is the Most Important Meal Of The Day, So We Found 20 Mouthwatering Paleo Options

Parade

Breakfast Is the Most Important Meal Of The Day, So We Found 20 Mouthwatering Paleo Options

Kaitlin Vogel – January 7, 2023

Power your morning with these paleo-approved meals.

It’s no secret that breakfast is the most important meal of the day. If you eat a nutrient-packed, filling breakfast, you’ll be energized all day long. If you grab a sugar-packed pastry, well … hello, exhaustion.

If you’re looking for nutritious, balanced (and filling!) meals, many nutritionists recommend the paleo diet. It’s a diet focused on unprocessed, high fiber and whole foods. “Between the protein, good fat, and fiber, this is a winning combination to help you feel full and satisfied,” says Lisa Young, PhD, RDN. So when it comes to a healthy diet, paleo covers all the bases.

“When breakfast time rolls around, my rule of thumb is to eat a combination of protein and carbohydrates from whole food sources,” says Mackenzie Burgess, registered dietitian nutritionist and recipe developer at Cheerful Choices. “This balance helps supply a greater variety of important nutrients and provides long-lasting energy.”

The paleo diet is packed with protein: lean meats, fish, eggs, nuts, and seeds. While it’s important to prioritize protein in the morning, aim to pair it with a complex carbohydrate like fresh or dried fruits and colorful vegetables, Burgess says. Some examples are scrambled eggs with diced vegetables, chia seed pudding with fruit, or a sausage sweet potato scramble.

To help you get started, here are a few paleo breakfast ideas and recipes backed by experts.

Paleo breakfast ideas

Chia seed jam

Most store-bought jams are not paleo-friendly due to the added sugars included. Instead, you can make your own homemade two-ingredient jam, Burgess says. Simply combine mashed berries and chia seeds, then let sit overnight. This jam is perfect to spoon over paleo-approved bread, banana egg pancakes, or dairy-free yogurt.

Related: 51 Best Chia Seed Recipes

Oatmeal

Filled with soluble fiber, oatmeal can help lower your cholesterol, Dr. Young explains. The type of fiber in oatmeal, beta-glucans, may be particularly beneficial for heart health and for weight control. Oatmeal also contains the minerals magnesium and potassium also good for the heart.

Pro tip: Dr. Young recommends adding sliced apples or blueberries to your oatmeal instead of sugar. Fruit makes the oatmeal so sweet you don’t need any added sugar.

Related: Magnesium Is One of the Most Underrated Treatment Options for Anxiety—Here’s What to Know

Stuffed dates

Classified as a fruit, dates contain fructose which provides a natural sweetness. Burgess says you can enjoy dates stuffed with a spoonful of nut butter and toppings of your choice. She also suggests sprinkling over pomegranate seeds, chopped nuts, or coconut flakes.

Chia pudding

<p>iStock</p>
iStock

Chia seeds are full of healthy fats that help keep you full for longer, Dr. Young explains. Chia pudding is a great breakfast option because you can prepare it the night before, keep it in the refrigerator and it’ll be ready to eat in the morning. It also makes a great afternoon snack and dessert. Top it with your favorite fresh fruit and you’re ready to enjoy. She recommends this simple recipe:

Ingredients:

  • 1/4 cup chia seeds
  • 1 cup unsweetened vanilla almond milk (or any milk)
  • 1 cup of mixed berries
  • Cinnamon and vanilla

Instructions:

  • Add ingredients to a mason jar or container with a lid, mix and chill for 1 hour.

Enjoy!

Related: Chia Seeds—Just How Super is this Superfood?

Green Goddess Almond Protein Power Smoothie 

Meeting protein needs is essential for anyone following a paleo diet, Katherine Brooking MS, RD, explains. She recommends a protein-power smoothie, like this Green Goddess Almond Protein Powder Smoothie, as part of your breakfast.

This recipe calls for an almond protein powder that has 20 grams of protein per serving and is made from finely ground almonds. It also has 1 cup of fresh spinach to help you meet your veggie needs. This smoothie also is high in calcium and fiber.

Related: Paleo vs Keto: Which Diet Should You Try?

Breakfast sausage

<p>iStock</p>
iStock

Breakfast sausage is rich in protein which can help us feel fuller and more satisfied for longer. One of Burgess’ favorite brands is Teton Waters Ranch’s breakfast sausage. These sausages have real ingredients and are 100% grass-fed, allowing them to have two to four times more heart-healthy omega-3 fats. She suggests pairing it with fresh fruit or scrambled eggs for long-lasting energy.

Sweet potato toast

This dish provides provitamin A, slow carbs, and fiber from sweet potatoes. Mashed avocado adds heart-healthy fat, and fried eggs add more protein.

“It’s delicious, satisfying, and makes a colorful meal,” says Summer Yule, MS, RDN. “Most people aren’t meeting the recommendations for vegetable intake and this breakfast is a great start to your morning!”

Frittata

As a crustless quiche, frittatas are paleo-approved. This egg white frittata calls for any vegetables of your choice so you can use up ingredients on hand, Burgess explains. You can omit the cheese or substitute dairy-free cheese over top.

Protein shake popsicles

Gabrielle Tafur, MS, RD recommends these tasty treats. “Though it isn’t your standard breakfast smoothie, if you have children and want to make sure they’re getting their protein in, these make for a fun breakfast or snack throughout the day.”

These popsicles are the perfect grab-and-go breakfast whether you’re commuting or heading to your home office.

Related: 25 Best Paleo Snacks

Mug muffin

Mug muffins are at the top of Burgess’ paleo breakfast list. Not only are they easy to make, but they also require minimal cleanup! Flaxseed, which is high in protein and fiber, makes the basis for this flax mug muffin.

This recipe is naturally sweetened from mashed bananas, stevia, and dark chocolate, making it paleo-friendly, Burgess says. Plus, it can be made ahead of time and is ready in just one minute.

Paleo cereal

Don’t swear this childhood favorite off just yet! You can enjoy this paleo cereal without the guilt of all of the added sugar and artificial food coloring dye, Tafur explains. It’s a wonderful way to clear out the pantry and takes minutes to prepare.

Squash hash

This healthy take on corned beef and hash switches fattier meat for lean ground turkey and substitutes summer squash for potatoes. Packed with protein, this Squash Hash breakfast recommended by a Registered Dietitian and MS, Brenda Braslow, will keep you full for hours.

Paleo breakfast bars

Do not be intimidated by the list of ingredients here. They are likely all things that can be found in the same aisle at the grocery store, and can go a long way if you are buying them in bulk, says Tafur. The best way to shop for this recipe would be to utilize the bulk grocery store items and prepare a batch to see if you like it first.

“These bars are simple and hearty, without being too sweet and making you feel like you are eating dessert for breakfast! They can be frozen as well and utilized when you are on the go.”

Paleo pistachio fig newton bread

This is an excellent paleo breakfast if you’re on the go. “I bake this delicious gluten-free, dairy-free paleo-friendly bread each week so that I can take it with me before a run or as a snack on a hike,” says Brooking. “Pistachios are a complete source of protein, providing all your essential amino acids for muscle building and repair and the figs provide natural sweetness and fiber.”

Green mango smoothie

<p>iStock</p>
iStock

If you’re in need of a morning energy boost, Braslow suggests this green mango smoothie. This delicious mix of ingredients will wake you right up. The spinach, cucumber, and mango provide a boost of protein with the addition of whey protein powder and hemp seeds.

Superfood grain-free granola with wild blueberries

Wild blueberries not only taste amazing, but they have 33% more brain-healthy purply blue anthocyanins, twice the antioxidants, and almost twice as much fiber as regular blueberries, says Brooking.

“Research shows that the anthocyanins in wild blueberries benefit our brains and memory, helping to keep us sharp at any age,” she explains. “This grain-free recipe also includes a delicious blend of almonds, walnuts, flax, chia seeds to add protein and healthy fats.”

Paleo breakfast egg wrap

Eggs provide high-quality protein and have all the essential amino acids to help maintain and repair muscle while supporting bone health, Brooking explains. They also contain choline, a nutrient that helps prevent birth defects and supports overall cognitive development and health in babies and may have lasting effects on cognition and the prevention of cognitive decline in adults. This breakfast wrap is nutrition-packed and a great morning meal to start your day.

“Eggs are ideal for a paleo diet and any eating pattern,” she states. “They are a nutritional powerhouse that contributes to health and wellbeing at every age and life stage.”

Vegetable and sweet potato frittata with avocado

<p>iStock</p>
iStock

“Frittatas are a great option for people following a paleo diet because they are easily customizable and you can batch cook them so you have a quick and easy grab-and-go paleo breakfast,” says Tamar Samuels, RD and co-founder of Culina Health.

A typical frittata recipe includes eggs, milk, vegetables, and cheese. To make this paleo she recommends substituting dairy milk for coconut milk, skipping the cheese and adding avocado as a garnish right before eating. Avocado contains heart-healthy, anti-inflammatory monounsaturated fats.

Samuels also likes to add a baked sweet potato on the side or chopped roasted sweet potatoes in the frittata mixture for a more satisfying breakfast with a boost of fiber and antioxidants from beta carotene.

Energy bombs

Energy Bombs are high in protein, no-grain, all-natural sugar, high-fiber, and a nutrient-dense breakfast option, recommended by nutritionist Melissa Kathryn. “Each ball provides 5 grams of protein and 9 grams of good fat to help keep you satisfied and give you ample energy,” she explains. “Whether you’re on the go or out for a long workout, these are sure to hit the spot and be a crowd-pleaser!”

Ingredients:

  • ¾ cup walnuts
  • ½ cup ground flaxseed
  • ½ teaspoon ground cinnamon
  • 2 tablespoons dried shredded coconut
  • 2 tablespoons hemp seeds
  • 2 tablespoons chia seeds
  • ½ cup nut butter
  • 2½ cups old-fashioned oats
  • 1 tablespoon coconut oil
  • 1/3 cup honey
  • 1 teaspoon vanilla extract
  • ½ cup mini dark chocolate morsels

Instructions:

  1. In a food processor, grind walnuts to medium/fine grind.
  2. Add flaxseed and process for 30 seconds.
  3. Add cinnamon, coconut, hemp seeds, chia seeds, nut butter, oats, coconut oil, honey, and vanilla extract. Process for 20 seconds.
  4. Place mixture in a bowl and add mini dark chocolate morsels. Mix gently with your hands to incorporate all ingredients.
  5. Hand roll into 1-inch balls (about the size of a ping pong ball) and place in a single layer on a cookie sheet. Cover with foil or plastic wrap and place in the refrigerator.
  6. Allow chilling for a minimum of one hour before serving.
  7. Keep covered in the fridge for up to one week.

Paleo pumpkin pancake

Also recommended by Kathryn, these pancakes are filled with nutty and sweet flavors that will leave you full for longer. If you’re looking for an energy boost, these are a great breakfast choice. Each pancake is high in protein, healthy fats, and carbs to give you that morning boost.

Next, read up on pantry and freezer staples you should always have on hand when eating paleo or low-carb.

Sources:

The ‘runner’s high’ may result from molecules called cannabinoids – the body’s own version of THC and CBD

The Conversation

The ‘runner’s high’ may result from molecules called cannabinoids – the body’s own version of THC and CBD

Hilary A. Marusak, Assistant Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neurosciences, Wayne State University – January 7, 2023

Exercise spurs the release of the body's natural cannabinoids, which have myriad benefits for mental health and stress relief. <a href=
Exercise spurs the release of the body’s natural cannabinoids, which have myriad benefits for mental health and stress relief. Luca Sage/Stone via Getty Images

Many people have experienced reductions in stress, pain and anxiety and sometimes even euphoria after exercise. What’s behind this so-called “runner’s high”? New research on the neuroscience of exercise may surprise you.

The “runner’s high” has long been attributed to endorphins. These are chemicals produced naturally in the body of humans and other animals after exercise and in response to pain or stress.

However, new research from my lab summarizes nearly two decades of work on this topic. We found that exercise reliably increases levels of the body’s endocannabinoids – which are molecules that work to maintain balance in the brain and body – a process called “homeostasis.” This natural chemical boost may better explain some of the beneficial effects of exercise on brain and body.

I am a neuroscientist at the Wayne State University School of Medicine. My lab studies brain development and mental health, as well as the role of the endocannabinoid system in stress regulation and anxiety disorders in children and adolescents.

This research has implications for everyone who exercises with the aim of reducing stress and should serve as a motivator for those who don’t regularly exercise.

Health benefits of exercise

Several decades of research has shown that exercise is beneficial for physical health. These studies find a consistent link between varying amounts of physical activity and reduced risk of premature death and dozens of chronic health conditions, including diabeteshypertensioncancer and heart disease.

While cannabinoids are produced in cannabis, the marijuana plant, they are also made in the human body. <a href=
While cannabinoids are produced in cannabis, the marijuana plant, they are also made in the human body. Iuliia Bondar/Moment via Getty Images

More recently – over about the past two decades – mounting research shows that exercise is also highly beneficial for mental health. In fact, regular exercise is associated with lower symptoms of anxiety, depression, Parkinson’s disease and other common mental health or neurological problems. Consistent exercise is also linked to better cognitive performance, improved mood, lower stress and higher self-esteem.

It is not yet clear what is behind these mental health boosts. We do know that exercise has a variety of effects on the brain, including raising metabolism and blood flow, promoting the formation of new brain cells – a process called neurogenesis – and increasing the release of several chemicals in the brain.

Some of these chemicals are called neurotrophic factors, such as brain-derived neurotrophic factor. BDNF is intricately involved in brain “plasticity,” or changes in activity of brain cells, including those related to learning and memory.

Scientists have also shown that exercise increases blood levels of endorphins, one of the body’s natural opioids. Opioids are chemicals that work in the brain and have a variety of effects, including helping to relieve pain. Some early research in the 1980s contributed to the long-standing popular belief that this endorphin release is related to the euphoric feeling known as the runner’s high.

However, scientists have long questioned the role of endorphins in the runner’s high sensation, in part because endorphins cannot cross into the brain through the blood-brain barrier, which protects the brain from toxins and pathogens. So endorphins are not likely to be the main driver for the beneficial effects of exercise on mood and mental state.

This is where our research and that of others points to the role of our body’s natural versions of cannabinoids, called endocannabinoids.

The surprising role of endocannabinoids

You may be familiar with cannabinoids such as tetrahydrocannabinol – better known as THC – the psychoactive compound in cannabis (from the Cannabis sativa L. plant) that causes people to feel high. Or you may have heard of cannabidiol, commonly known as CBD, an extract of cannabis that is infused in some foods, medicines, oils and many other products.

But many people do not realize that humans also create their own versions of these chemicals, called endocannabinoids. These are tiny molecules made of lipids – or fats – that circulate in the brain and body; “endo” refers to those produced in the body rather than from a plant or in a lab.

Endocannabinoids work on cannabinoid receptors throughout the brain and body. They cause a variety of effects, including pain relief, reduction of anxiety and stress and enhanced learning and memory. They also affect hunger, inflammation and immune functioning. Endocannabinoid levels can be influenced by food, time of day, exercise, obesity, injury, inflammation and stress.

It’s worth noting that one should not be tempted to forgo a run or bike ride and resort to smoking or ingesting cannabis instead. Endocannabinoids lack the unwanted effects that come with getting high, such as mental impairment.

Understanding the runner’s high

Studies in humans and in animal models are pointing to endocannabinoids – not endorphins – as the star players in the runner’s high.

These elegant studies demonstrate that when opioid receptors are blocked – in one example by a drug called naltrexone – people still experienced euphoria and reduced pain and anxiety after exercise. On the flip side, the studies showed that blocking the effects of cannabinoid receptors reduced the beneficial effects of exercise on euphoria, pain and anxiety.

While several studies have shown that exercise increases the levels of endocannabinoids circulating in the blood, some have reported inconsistent findings, or that different endocannabinoids produce varying effects. We also don’t know yet if all types of exercise, such as cycling, running or resistance exercise like weightlifting, produce similar results. And it is an open question whether people with and without preexisting health conditions like depression, PTSD or fibromyalgia experience the same endocannabinoid boosts.

To address these questions, an undergraduate student in my lab, Shreya Desai, led a systematic review and meta-analysis of 33 published studies on the impact of exercise on endocannabinoid levels. We compared the effects of an “acute” exercise session – like going for a 30-minute run or cycle – with the effects of “chronic” programs, such as a 10-week running or weightlifting program. We separated them out because different levels and patterns of exertion could have very distinct effects on endocannabinoid responses.

We found that acute exercise consistently boosted endocannabinoid levels across studies. The effects were most consistent for a chemical messenger known as anandamide – the so-called “bliss” molecule, which was named, in part, for its positive effects on mood.

Interestingly, we observed this exercise-related boost in endocannabinoids across different types of exercise, including running, swimming and weightlifting, and across individuals with and without preexisting health conditions. Although only a few studies looked at intensity and duration of exercise, it appears that moderate levels of exercise intensity – such as cycling or running – are more effective than lower-intensity exercise – like walking at slow speeds or low incline – when it comes to raising endocannabinoid levels. This suggests that it is important to keep your heart rate elevated – that is, between about 70% and 80% of age-adjusted maximum heart rate – for at least 30 minutes to reap the full benefits.

There are still a lot of questions about the links between endocannabinoids and beneficial effects from exercise. For example, we didn’t see consistent effects for how a chronic exercise regimen, such as a six-week cycling program, might affect resting endocannabinoid levels. Likewise, it isn’t yet clear what the minimum amount of exercise is to get a boost in endocannabinoids, and how long these compounds remain elevated after acute exercise.

Despite these open questions, these findings bring researchers one step closer to understanding how exercise benefits brain and body. And they offer an important motivator for making time for exercise during the rush of the holidays.

Read more:

Kevin McCarthy ‘won’ the House speakership. Now the country will pay the price

Los Angeles Times

Column: Kevin McCarthy ‘won’ the House speakership. Now the country will pay the price

Mark Z. Barabak – January 6, 2023

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 04: Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) touches the arm of Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) on the floor of the House Chamber of the U.S. Capitol Building on Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023 in Washington, DC. After three failed attempts to successfully vote for Speaker of the House, the members of the 118th Congress is expected to try again today. (Kent Nishimura / Los Angeles Times)
Newly minted House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, seen with Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, made so many concessions to win the post he will spend his tenure living on a razor’s edge. (Kent Nishimura / Los Angeles Times)

For years, Kevin McCarthy wanted to be speaker of the House in the worst possible way, and that’s precisely what he accomplished by winning the leadership post after 15 humiliating rounds of voting and days of give-away-the-store negotiations.

McCarthy may have once dreamed of striding boldly forth to claim the mantle of a robust Republican majority.

Instead, with the GOP barely in control and the chamber in chaos, McCarthy crawled into the speakership early Saturday on his hands and knees.

He ceded so much to foes — effective veto power over must-pass legislation, greater say over committee assignments, allowing a sole dissident to trigger a vote on his ouster — that McCarthy will spend his shaky tenure, as long as it lasts, balanced on a razor’s edge. One nick and he’s gone.

Far more troubling, McCarthy’s cowardly concessions leave the country hostage for the next two years to an extreme fringe of far-right zealots, who threaten to turn the normal operation of government and such typically routine business — like raising the debt ceiling to avoid default and economic catastrophe — into a cliffhanging drama.

The deep humbling of McCarthy could be seen as cruel, a snub by fellow lawmakers whose power was made possible by the Bakersfield Republican’s years of hard work as grand strategist and campaigner in chief for the House GOP. But the drip-drip torture of prolonged balloting was so egregiously self-inflicted, so glaring in the making and so abundantly well-deserved that it is impossible to muster even the slightest bit of sympathy.

The fecklessness of McCarthy has been well chronicled, and a further accounting needn’t go on at length. One example stands out: The outrage he expressed at then-President Trump for instigating the Jan. 6 riot quickly melted not just into acceptance but utter capitulation, as McCarthy hastened to Mar-a-Lago to beg forgiveness for having, ever so briefly, dared hold the Oval Office tyrant to account.

There are marshmallows made of sterner stuff.

But McCarthy has long been guided by one thing, and one thing only: the acquisition of power (by whatever means necessary) and ascension to the leadership post that very nearly exceeded his grasp.

Policy has never been McCarthy’s forte. There is no landmark legislation that bears his thumbprint, no law that flowed from the wellspring of his intellect. Campaigns and elections have been his sole skill set and personal relations his great specialty: the backslapping, glad-handing hail-fellow bonhomie that made the nine-term congressman likable enough to fellow Republicans, but not someone they particularly respected.

Though there is nothing wrong with that — you can’t accomplish a great deal in politics without making friends and winning elections — there has never been much more than that. McCarthy has proven a man unworthy of trust, his spine bendable, his values pliable, his beliefs open to barter.

There are weather vanes with more firmly fixed positions.

As a lawmaker in Sacramento when moderate Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger was in charge, McCarthy fought to keep GOP extremists at bay. As a member of Congress, and major recruiter of Republican candidates, he embraced the GOP fringe, starting with the far-right “tea party” movement and continuing under the QAnon-embracing Trump.

McCarthy helped bring a fire-spitting breed of anti-government, anti-establishment radicals into the GOP tent, and then almost lost his end of the bargain when they turned against him.

The blandishments McCarthy might have offered to horse trade his way to the speakership — fancy titles, perks, a fundraising appearance — meant little to those Republican holdouts who would like nothing more than to burn Washington to the ground.

In the end, a willingness to neuter himself was the price McCarthy was forced, and proved sadly willing, to pay.

There is an epithet thrown at those in the GOP deemed less than 100% pure: Republican in name only. McCarthy, eagerly stepping into a straitjacket of his own design, has earned himself the dubious distinction of becoming speaker in name only.

His rudderless soul and ham-fisted miscalculation stand in notable contrast to his most recent predecessor, Nancy Pelosi.

While the San Francisco Democrat never ruled her caucus as the googly-eyed liberal of popular parody, she was guided by a bone-deep set of left-leaning convictions that helped yield a series of triumphs, including passage of Obamacare after many in her party had given up. Not least, a firm set of guiding principles also helped marshal the unruly cadre on her side of the aisle.

All McCarthy managed to prove in his clumsy reach for power was a bottomless capacity to get pushed around and capitulate to extortion. He won with scarcely a vote to spare.

At bottom, McCarthy had to struggle to claim the prize he long sought because he was too transparently ambitious and too blatantly transactional — which is saying something in an institution fueled by ambition and where mutual backscratching has been elevated to a high art form.

“Kevin McCarthy is not a conservative,” Virginia Rep. Bob Good, one of the original and most fervent of the never-McCarthy Republicans, told Politico in the run-up to the speakership vote. “He kind of just floats with whatever’s politically expedient.”

McCarthy cashed out his integrity a long time ago.

Sadly, the country will now have to pay the price.

Wagner’s Desensitized Prison Fighters Keep Staggering Into Bakhmut Like This Is a Zombie Apocalypse

Daily Beast

Wagner’s Desensitized Prison Fighters Keep Staggering Into Bakhmut Like This Is a Zombie Apocalypse

Guillaume Ptak – January 7, 2023

Photo by Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
Photo by Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

BAKHMUT, Ukraine—In the smoke-filled basement of a nondescript building in the city center of Bakhmut, eastern Ukraine, the men of the SKALA intelligence battalion are getting ready for a risky reconnaissance mission. One of them is burning a last cigarette in the dimly-lit hallway. Clad in a bulletproof vest and helmet, a bearded soldier wraps yellow tape around both his arms—a sign used by Ukrainian soldiers to identify each other on the battlefield. “Be careful out there, there are snipers in this area,” a portly officer warns him, rising from his office chair facing a flatscreen TV that intermittently broadcasts the live-feed of a drone flying over carnage in the city. “I can’t die, my mom won’t let me,” quips the soldier with a weary smile, checking his gear one last time before heading out.

The previously-muffled sound of outgoing artillery becomes sharper and louder as the door to the street swings open. They take off.

“The situation is pretty tense, but we’re controlling it,” says 23-year-old Alexander, clutching his American-made M4 assault rifle. “We’re holding.” With his buzzcut and boyish looks, the young man wouldn’t look out of place in a trendy nightclub in downtown Kyiv. Yet, for weeks, Alexander and the grizzled soldiers of the SKALA battalion have been weathering the storm of daily Russian assaults and shelling on Bakhmut, hunkering down in the basement and doing daily sorties in the gray zone—the stretch of land between Ukrainian and Russian positions. Named after its founder and leader Iurii Skala, the SKALA battalion is tasked with conducting air and ground reconnaissance, as well as “cleaning operations”—a euphemism meaning assaulting enemy positions and taking out the Russian soldiers manning them.

“The drones are our eyes, out there,” says Alexander. Out there is Bakhmut—a salt-mining town of 70,000 inhabitants known for its sparkling white wine—that has been devastated by months of relentless Russian shelling, and gruesome trench warfare that has prompted comparisons with the Battle of the Somme or Passchendaele. The town is a major transport hub and sits on a strategic highway that runs through Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Yet, some—including one of Ukraine’s top generals—have argued that the town’s strategic value is dubious at best. However, it is one of the few frontline areas where the Russians are still on the advance, and the success-starved Russian high command is desperate to claim a victory, at any cost. Some have theorized that the capture of Bakhmut would constitute a personal prize for Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the infamous Wagner paramilitary group, whose mercenaries make up most of the Russian forces in the area. The U.S. believes Prigozhin has a financial motive: Wagner has often seized lucrative gold and diamond mines in areas where it operates in Africa, and Prigozhin may have set his sights on the salt and gypsum mines around Bakhmut.

This Is How the U.S. Totally Misjudged the War in Ukraine

According to Rem, a former car dealer from Dnipro now correcting artillery fire with the help of his drone, most of the soldiers sent in suicidal assaults on Ukrainian positions in Bakhmut are “zeks,” or convicts, recruited by Wagner to bolster the number of Russian forces in Ukraine. “Mobiks [conscripts] are usually scared, and they scatter when they get shelled. Those guys are not scared,” he said.

Of the Wagnerites, Rem says that they’re a much more effective fighting force than they’re usually given credit for: “They’re making progress, after all.” Desensitized to violence and with nothing left to lose, the prisoners—many of whom are violent criminals including murderers and rapists—are considered by Ukrainian soldiers a tougher enemy than the average army conscript.

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>A Ukrainian service member stands outside his outpost in Bakhmut during a drone reconnaissance operation on December 01, 2022. </p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Justin Yau</div>
A Ukrainian service member stands outside his outpost in Bakhmut during a drone reconnaissance operation on December 01, 2022.Justin Yau

The Russian tactic of sending prison recruits to attack Ukrainian positions—allowing them to identify defenses for the artillery to pummel afterwards—has proven effective, though slow and deadly. While no major breakthrough has occurred, they have been slowly eroding Ukrainian defenses, and creeping every closer to the eastern outskirts of the city.

This assessment was echoed in late December by Oleksandr Danylyuk, a former national security adviser for Ukraine currently working on military planning, who said of the prison conscripts: “They are—I cannot say fearless—but they have nothing to lose pretty much. So, they are attacking constantly and they’ve been killed in big quantities as well.”

Yet those incremental gains on the eastern approach to the city have come at a cost for Russian forces, as evidenced during Prigozhin’s well-publicized visit to the frontline over the New Year. In a series of videos released by Russian news agency RIA Novosti, the Wagner boss first visits a basement filled with the bodies of his fighters, many of them convicts, killed during the battle for Bakhmut, before complaining that “every house [in Bakhmut] has become a fortress”—and that it sometimes takes a week of fighting to take a single house.

According to a U.S. official quoted by The Guardian on Thursday, out of an initial force of nearly 50,000 mercenaries, Wagner has sustained more than 4,100 killed in action and 10,000 wounded, including over 1,000 killed between late November and early December near Bakhmut.

How 46 Toddlers Were Disappeared by Putin in One Fell Swoop

Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to the city in late December underscored the symbolic value of “fortress Bakhmut”—and the sacrifices made to defend it. A Ukrainian officer serving in the East, who asked to remain anonymous, ventured an estimate of a dozen casualties a day.

Outside SKALA’s command center, the streets are almost empty, save for a couple of civilians hurrying along, carrying grocery bags or pulling carts filled with empty water bottles. The thundering sound of shelling echoes through empty avenues and deserted public squares, bouncing off the facades of destroyed residential buildings and closed-down shops. Here and there, the rocket of a GRAD multiple rocket launcher can be spotted planted upright in the asphalt.

A couple of blocks away from SKALA’s headquarters, sixty-something Hrihorii is busy cutting firewood on the car park of his residential building, seemingly oblivious to the outgoing artillery fire booming in the distance. Clothed in warm winter clothing and black plastic boots, the man says he has no intention to leave his apartment – despite the windows having been shattered the day prior to our visit. “I am waiting for the Ukrainian army to win,” he says with a smile. “I am not leaving.” Next to him, food is simmering in a pot placed over an open fire. The crater from last morning’s shelling is located a mere feet away from his improvised kitchen. Had he been cooking at the time of its landing, Hrihorii would have died.

Back at the command post, a group of a dozen soldiers are returning from a mission in the “gray zone.” The soldiers, drenched in sweat and amped up on adrenaline, hurry through the door, cursing loudly. Roman, a soldier from Dnipro, lights up a cigarette and introduces the other members of his crew, in broken English : Vansi, a heavyweight soldier who had served in Donbas in 2015, and “Bakhmut,” who now serves in the charred ruins of his hometown after sending the rest of his family to safety in Bulgaria. “I haven’t run like this in twenty years,” exclaims Roman, panting. According to him, 50 year-old Russian T-62 tanks were operating in the area. “We couldn’t see them, but we could hear them,” he says. The use of such obsolete models points to the growing deficit of equipment and vehicles among Russian forces, a problem compounded by the sanctions that have targeted the country’s military industry. Yet Ukrainian soldiers say the Russians shouldn’t be underestimated. “It’s still very loud out there, the fight is not over,” says Roman, putting out his cigarette.

<div class="inline-image__caption"><p>Roman (left) and “Bakhmut” (right) are among the Ukrainian fighters frustrating Russia’s efforts to take Bakhmut.</p></div> <div class="inline-image__credit">Justin Yau</div>
Roman (left) and “Bakhmut” (right) are among the Ukrainian fighters frustrating Russia’s efforts to take Bakhmut.Justin Yau

Joe Biden Wants to Change Social Security: Will the New Congress Help With Reform Efforts?

Motley Fool

Joe Biden Wants to Change Social Security: Will the New Congress Help With Reform Efforts?

By Sean Williams – January 7, 2023

KEY POINTS
  • Social Security is facing a $20.4 trillion funding shortfall through 2096 that, if left unattended, could lead to sweeping benefit cuts.
  • Prior to his election as president, Joe Biden unveiled a four-point plan to reform Social Security.
  • Despite a new Congress taking shape just days ago, altering Social Security is highly unlikely.
Social Security is in trouble, and President Biden believes he has the ideal plan to fix it.

In November, nearly 66 million Americans, many of whom are aged 62 and over, received a Social Security benefit. For the 48.5 million who are retired workers, these payouts are widely viewed as a necessity to cover their expenses. 

But despite providing a financial foundation for our nation’s retirees, America’s top retirement program finds itself in deep trouble. President Joe Biden believes he has the solution that can resolve what ails Social Security, but he’s going to need the help of newly elected lawmakers to fix it.President Joe Biden delivering remarks in the East Room of the White House.

PRESIDENT BIDEN DELIVERING REMARKS. IMAGE SOURCE: OFFICIAL WHITE HOUSE PHOTO BY ADAM SCHULTZ.

Retired workers could be less than 12 years away from having their benefits cut

For each of the past 83 years, the Social Security Board of Trustees has released a report that’s examined the financial status of the program over the short term (the next 10 years) and long term (75 years following the release of a report). The Trustees Report effectively acts as Social Security’s balance sheet and allows anyone to see how revenue is collected and where those dollars end up.

In addition to backward-looking financial data, the Trustees Report factors in changing macroeconomic and demographic factors to determine the financial health of Social Security.

The 2022 Trustees Report showed that Social Security had dug its largest hole yet: an estimated $20.4 trillion funding shortfall through 2096. For what it’s worth, every Trustees Report since 1985 has projected a long-term funding shortfall.

Social Security’s increasingly dire financial footing is primarily a result of demographic shifts. Examples include historically low U.S. birth rates, a near-halving in net immigration into the country over two decades, and growing income inequality, among other factors. With these changes weighing on the worker-to-beneficiary ratio, it would appear the program’s financial foundation will only worsen.

Based on last year’s projections, the asset reserves for the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund (OASI) are expected to run out in 2034. The OASI is the Trust responsible for paying benefits to 48.5 million retired workers each month, as well as nearly 5.9 million survivors of deceased workers. If this excess cash were to be exhausted within the next 12 years, the Trustees believe an across-the-board benefit cut of 23% would be necessary to sustain payouts through 2096. For context, a 23% benefit cut would reduce the average Social Security check by roughly $420 per month (In January 2023 dollars), or $5,000 per year.

While Social Security is in no danger whatsoever of becoming insolvent, the size of Social Security checks paid to retired workers 12 years from now is very much in question.A Social Security card wedged between a fanned assortment of cash bills.

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

Joe Biden has proposed sweeping reforms for Social Security

In 2020, prior to his election as president, then-candidate Joe Biden released a plan he believed would strengthen Social Security for decades to come. Although there are four Social Security changes Biden is seeking, two stand out as key to shoring up the program.

This biggest Social Security change proposed by Biden would tackle income inequality head-on and generate a lot of extra revenue.

In 2023, Social Security’s 12.4% payroll tax is applicable to earned income between $0.01 and $160,200. “Earned income” means wages and salary but not any sort of investment income. Approximately 94% of all working Americans earns less than the maximum taxable earnings cap (the $160,200 figure). For the other 6% of workers, earned income above this $160,200 level is exempt from the payroll tax.

Joe Biden’s proposal would create a doughnut hole between the maximum taxable earnings cap and $400,000 where earned income would remain exempt, as well as reinstate the payroll tax on earned income above $400,000. Since the maximum taxable earnings cap tends to rise over time with inflation, this doughnut hole would eventually close decades down the line. This immediate increase in payroll tax revenue should push back the asset reserve depletion date of the OASI.

The other notable Social Security change President Biden is seeking is the replacement of the program’s measure of inflation.

Since 1975, the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) has been used to determine Social Security’s annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA). Unfortunately, as its name implies, this is a price-measuring index focused on the spending habits of “urban wage earners and clerical workers.” In other words, people who generally aren’t receiving a Social Security benefit.

Biden would like to see the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly (CPI-E) used to calculate COLA instead of the CPI-W. The CPI-E specifically tracks the spending habits of older Americans, which would likely provide a larger annual cost-of-living adjustment.

Is a new Congress the recipe Biden needs to reform Social Security?

The challenge for Joe Biden — and frankly, every other president for more than three decades — is that he needs the support of lawmakers in Congress to amend the Social Security Act. Just a few days ago, the 118th Congress officially took shape.

The big question is: Will this new Congress work with the president to effect Social Security reform? If I were to give the Magic 8 Ball a shake, the “All signs point to no” answer would almost assuredly pop up.

Whereas the previous Congress featured a razor-thin majority in the U.S. Senate for Democrats, as well as a modest majority in the House of Representatives, the new Congress features a shift to a slight majority in the House for Republicans.

Democrats and Republicans both agree that Social Security needs attention. However, they’ve approached their respective fixes from completely different viewpoints. Whereas Biden’s proposal seeks to raise additional revenue from high-earners and boost benefits for low-earning workers, the Republican solution aims to increase the full retirement age and shift the inflationary measure to the Chained CPI. Without getting too far into the weeds, the GOP plan focuses on reducing long-term outlays to save Social Security money. In short, both parties have solutions that work, albeit on very different timelines and with ideologically opposite approaches.

The other challenge for Biden is getting the necessary votes in the Senate to amend Social Security. In the upper house of Congress, 60 votes are needed to amend America’s top retirement program. Since neither party has controlled at least 60 votes in the Senate since 1979, it means all legislation proposing to alter Social Security would require bipartisan support. Garnering that support has proved virtually impossible for every president since Ronald Reagan.

Though a new Congress has taken shape, Biden’s Social Security changes are extremely unlikely to find legislative support.

‘Terrifying prospect’: Utah’s Great Salt Lake could disappear in 5 years without drastic water conservation

USA Today

‘Terrifying prospect’: Utah’s Great Salt Lake could disappear in 5 years without drastic water conservation

Dinah Voyles Pulver, USA TODAY – January 7, 2023

Scholars and conservationists released a briefing this week urging emergency water-saving measures to prevent the looming collapse of Utah’s Great Salt Lake.

Without an urgent, dramatic increase in water flow, “the lake as we know it is on track to disappear in five years,” stated the report, led by Benjamin Abbott, a professor of ecosystem ecology at Brigham Young University.

Decades of overconsumption of water throughout the region, and a mega-drought made worse by climate change, threaten to further shrink the lake and cause great harm to the region’s public health, environment and economy, Abbott told USA TODAY.

Politicians, residents, farmers and industry made great strides forward in recent years, he said, but “extraordinary, emergency measures” are needed to be better stewards.

How low is the lake?

In 2021, the lake reached its smallest point ever, 941 square miles, down from a peak of about 2,400 miles in 1986-1987, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

“We’re at a point where more than half the lake bed is exposed,” Abbott said. The lake is so low one measuring gauge has been out of use since September.

“At 19 feet below the average level the lake has maintained since 1850, the lake is in uncharted territory,” stated the report. Unsustainable water use dries out the habitat, exposes toxic dust and drives salinity higher and higher.

Salinity historically averaged between 10% and 15%, Abbott said. Today it’s at 19%, five-and-a-half times saltier than the ocean.

If the rate of decline continues, the lake’s remaining water could be depleted, he said. “It’s a terrifying prospect.”

Will there be any water left the Great Salt Lake in 5 years?

The remaining water could be gone in about 5 years if the lake keeps drying up at its current rate, the report says.

If the lake stays on that path, its food webs will collapse and “the lake as we know it will be gone,” Abbott said. “We’re not making a prediction that 5 years from now there will be no water. We are making the observation that the rate of decline if it continues is enough to deplete the remaining water in the lake.”

Over the last three years, the lake has received less than a third of its natural streamflow because of excessive water diversions.

In 2022, the lake dropped to a record elevation of 4188’ — the lowest level on the state’s contingency charts.

WINTER WEATHER: Climate change won’t make winter storms and blizzards go away. Scientists explain why.

GLACIERS: Most glaciers on track to melt away by 2100, but some can still be saved, study finds

Water depletion is even more severe than it appears because groundwater is not included in the estimates. While the lake has lost about 26 million acre-feet of water, twice that amount may have been lost from declining water levels in aquifers around the lake. These empty aquifers could slow the rate of rebound after runoff is increased.

Report details lake’s importance
  • The Great Salt Lake lies along a critical flyway, attracting an estimated 10 million birds a year. Roughly 350 bird species depend on its ecosystems.
  • It provides $2.5 billion in direct economic productivity, primarily from mineral extraction, recreation and brine shrimp harvesting, and supports 9,000 jobs.
  • Evaporation from the lake increases annual snowfall in nearby mountains and ski resorts by 5-10%, supporting an additional $1.8 billion in economic activity.
  • Its water suppresses heavy metals and cyanotoxins that accumulated in sediments over hundreds of years. When sediments are exposed, toxic dust can blow all over the country, Bennett said. “Already dust from the lake has been observed as far away as Wyoming and Arizona.”

Decline of the Great Salt Lake in satellite images

Steps needed for recovery

The report urges Utah Governor Spencer Cox to implement a watershed-wide emergency rescue, with financial support from the legislature. It also lists these items:

  • Enough water conservation upstream to ensure that more than a million acre feet of water per year is sent to the lake.
  • As much as a 30% – 50% reduction in water use in the entire watershed
  • A “lake first” approach to water stewardship
  • Increased trust and cooperation between farmers, cities and policy makers.
Overuse led to this point

Profligate water use for decades contributed to the crisis as the region grew more populous. Increasing demands for water have forced utilities, farmers and other water users to grapple with a shrinking water supply.

Today, more water needs to make its way all the way down through rivers and dams far upstream of the lake, Abbott said. “It’s like running a bank account. You have to make sure the income is greater than the expenses, otherwise you’re borrowing from the future.”

“We can be careful caretakers of this ecosystem and wise stewards,” he said. “Or we can say it doesn’t matter what happens in the future, and we’re just going to think about today.”

A call for unity

Tim Hawkes is among the state legislators who have worked to change Utah’s water laws and invest in lake restoration.

“There’s been an ethic on the lake for decades of stakeholders trying to work together,” said Hawkes, an outgoing Republican member of the House of Representatives. “It speaks to Utah and how we problem solve.”

Because some of the measures are still being implemented, the region is coming up short, thanks in part to the drought, and needs to “pull some emergency levers” to reverse the lake’s trajectory, he said. “We’re going to have to do a lot and do it fast, and the only way to do that is to try to keep people on the same script and working together.”

The Symptoms Of COVID Variant XBB That Doctors Are Seeing Right Now

HuffPost

The Symptoms Of COVID Variant XBB That Doctors Are Seeing Right Now

Julia Ries – January 6, 2023

The Symptoms Of COVID Variant XBB That Doctors Are Seeing Right Now

If you’ve been following COVID news, then you’re likely well aware there’s a new variant in town that’s concerning the scientific community. Known as XBB, the variant is believed to be the most immune-evasive to date and currently accounts for over 40% of infections in the United States, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 

That percentage is expected to grow exponentially in the coming weeks as XBB out-competes other omicron variants like BQ.1. Look at what transpired in New England: Within three weeks, the percentage of cases in the region caused by XBB jumped from 11% to 75%. 

Because XBB is relatively new, scientists are still working to figure out if and how the variant behaves differently from other recent variants. Though XBB’s symptoms are expected to be on par with past omicron infections, doctors say they are seeing some issues becoming more prevalent than others.

“Viruses typically mutate to become more contagious and less severe; it appears that this is happening with this strain of the coronavirus,” Dr. Henry Redel, the chief of infectious disease at Saint Peter’s University Hospital in New Brunswick, New Jersey, told HuffPost.

We asked infectious disease experts what they’re seeing in the hospital right now. Here’s what they said:

The most common XBB COVID symptoms appear to be congestion and body aches.

There’s limited data on XBB, but experts suspect the symptoms associated with XBB infections will be similar to the symptoms people experienced with COVID throughout 2022. 

That said, evidence has shown that the symptom profile has shifted a bit with each variant. Omicron caused more cold-like symptoms (like fatigue, runny nose, sneezing and muscle aches), for example, whereas delta and alpha more commonly triggered anosmia (loss of smell) and ageusia (loss of taste).

So, what is on the docket for XBB? “In general, I think people are more achy and still have congestion and headache,” Dr. Julie Parsonnet, an infectious diseases specialist with Stanford Health Care, told HuffPost. You may also expect to see the other usual symptoms: fever, chills, cough and sore throat.

Less common symptoms include loss of taste and smell and shortness of breath.

Anosmia and ageusia appear, anecdotally, to be less common with XBB. Experts don’t expect ageusia and anosmia to make a comeback just yet. “Since XBB is part of the omicron group, I expect that loss of taste and smell will not be common, but I have not seen data yet,” said Dr. Thomas Campbell, a professor in the department of infectious disease at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus. 

One thing doctors on the front lines are seeing less of: severe shortness of breath, Redel said. Rarely have recent patients needed supplemental oxygen, he added. Redel noted he’s seeing many more COVID patients come in with classic upper respiratory symptoms — like runny nose, congestion and sore throats — along with fever and muscle aches. 

Common symptoms have changed since the original iteration of the coronavirus.
Common symptoms have changed since the original iteration of the coronavirus.

Common symptoms have changed since the original iteration of the coronavirus.

What causes symptoms to change between subvariants?

Because so many people have been infected — in some cases, multiple times — it’s tough to pin down exactly how the symptomatology is influenced by the host versus specific traits of the virus. Parsonnet suspects that immunity plays a pretty big role.

“There is likely a strong element of underlying immunity, but there may also be differences in the virus’s ability to cause symptoms,” Parsonnet told HuffPost.

According to Dr. Martin Krsak, an infectious disease expert at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, people’s genetics and underlying health — i.e. whether they have a chronic disease or prior injury — also influence the type of symptoms they develop. 

Like Parsonnet, Krsak said that each variant and the way it infects our cells likely impacts symptoms as well. “Variants have a different capacity to evade prior immunity and also a different capacity to bind to the main target on human cells,” he said. 

Does the latest COVID shot prevent you from getting infected with XBB?

A pre-print study from Japan determined that XBB came to be during the summer of 2022 when two sub-variants of the BA.2 omicron lineage combined. Scientists believe that, in this process, XBB picked up mutations that help it better evade immunity conferred by both vaccination and previous infections.

XBB’s mutations also let it attach to our cells more easily, enabling it to spread more efficiently than other versions of omicron.

“It binds tighter, appears more transmissible, and is also immune-evasive,” said Dr. Eric M. Poeschla, the head of the Division of Infectious Diseases at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus. It’s unknown whether those mutations alter the virus’ clinical profile and the symptoms it causes, Parsonnet said. 

The updated COVID shot, which was tweaked in 2022 to target newer variants of omicron, doesn’t work super well at preventing infections of XBB, considering there are so many new infections in the community, Parsonnet said. But the fact that there hasn’t been a rapid increase in deaths shows that the shots, combined with the immense amount of immunity gained from past infections, continue to protect many people from severe outcomes. Together, that immunity will help blunt the XBB wave, according to Poeschla. And though monoclonal antibodies are less effective with XBB, other treatments — including Paxlovid, remdesivir and molnupiravir — appear to hold up well. 

Of course, there’s always the very real risk of long COVID, which is a debilitating condition that can follow even a mild case of the coronavirus. Long COVID can cause lasting fatigue, brain fog, respiratory issues and more. There’s still a lot for us to learn about XBB and the symptoms or potential complications it may cause.

But there’s one thing we know for sure: There’s a benefit to being vaccinated rather than not. “The bivalent booster offers some protection against all omicron-based variants and is highly recommended, especially for those over 65 or with serious other risks,” Poeschla said.

Experts are still learning about COVID-19. The information in this story is what was known or available as of publication, but guidance can change as scientists discover more about the virus. Please check the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for the most updated recommendations.

5 things to know about COVID variant XBB.1.5 and other strains circulating in Oklahoma

The Oaklahoman

5 things to know about COVID variant XBB.1.5 and other strains circulating in Oklahoma

Dana Branham, Oklahoman – January 6, 2023

A new COVID-19 variant is taking hold across the country, threatening another wave of infections.

The highly contagious variant, XBB.1.5, has arrived in the United States and is quickly making up a large share of new cases across the country. In Oklahoma, the state’s Public Health Laboratory has identified two cases of XBB.1.5, according to the Oklahoma State Department of Health.

Cases and hospitalizations have begun to tick up again in Oklahoma, though they’re still at levels well below the heights they reached during the omicron surge in early 2022.

The state added 5,660 COVID-19 cases to its count this week — and that number only represents people whose tests were reported. At-home tests aren’t included in official counts.

Hospitalizations for COVID-19 climbed over 400 statewide this week.

Here’s what to know about XBB.1.5 and other COVID-19 variants circulating in Oklahoma.

Variant XBB:People who haven’t had COVID will likely catch XBB.1.5 – and many will get reinfected, experts say

1. New COVID variant has jumped significantly in just a few weeks

XBB.1.5 is getting attention because of how quickly it’s taken up a sizable share of the nation’s COVID-19 cases.

Estimates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that it’s making up about 28% of cases nationwide. That’s up from about 18% the week before and about 2% in early December. (Previous estimates showed a higher percentage of XBB.1.5 cases, but new forecasts showed a less dramatic increase.)

In Oklahoma’s region, which also includes Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and New Mexico, XBB.1.5 makes up about 17% of current cases, according to CDC’s estimates.

2. COVID-Omicron XBB is particularly evasive

Part of what’s allowed XBB.1.5 to spread so quickly is that it doesn’t seem to be affected much by antibodies developed through a recent infection or vaccination.

“People who’ve previously been infected with COVID, or who have received the vaccine, even the most recent bivalent booster, this particular subvariant doesn’t seem to be as susceptible to the antibodies that you developed when you were either infected or got vaccinated,” said Dr. Dale Bratzler, the University of Oklahoma’s chief COVID officer. “So it’s spreading quite rapidly.”

Vaccination for COVID-19 is still effective at preventing severe disease or death from the virus, though you can still be infected even if you were vaccinated.

3. BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 still dominate in Oklahoma

For now, two other omicron subvariants — BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 — remain dominant in Oklahoma.

Combined, they make up about 63% of cases in the region.

4. Some therapies no longer effective against new variants

Some treatments used for COVID-19 in the past won’t work against newer variants.

Bebtelovimab, which was the only monoclonal antibody therapy providers had to treat patients with COVID-19, is no longer authorized for use because it isn’t expected to work against BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 subvariants, according to the Food and Drug Administration.

And Evusheld, a monoclonal antibody therapy used for pre-exposure protection against COVID-19 for immunocompromised and high-risk people, is also unlikely to work against newer variants.

At OU Health, “because now more than 80% of the strains that are circulating would not be expected to be prevented with Evusheld, we’ve elected to stop offering it to our patients,” Bratzler said.

5. Antivirals are still available to treat and prevent severe disease

But there are still treatment options to help prevent severe disease and death from COVID-19.

Antiviral drugs Paxlovid and remdesivir are still available and aren’t affected by the virus’ mutations.

Bratzler said he’s seen some troubling cases of high-risk COVID-19 patients being treated with “all sorts of stuff,” including antibiotics and steroids, instead of antivirals proven to work against COVID-19.

“I’m trying to get the message out to providers that antiviral drugs are the agents of choice when a high-risk individual tests positive for COVID,” he said. “I continue to see providers giving things that have not been shown to be useful and could even be harmful.”

The XBB.1.5 variant is taking over on the East Coast. Will it happen in California too?

Los Angeles Times

The XBB.1.5 variant is taking over on the East Coast. Will it happen in California too?

Corinne Purtill – January 5, 2023

A close-up view of a cell infected with an Omicron version of the coronavirus.
A close-up view of a cell infected with an Omicron version of the coronavirus. The image has been colorized to show the virus particles in red. (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases)

You may have come home with it after a recent trip to New England. Or you may have gotten it from that friend or family member who flew in from New York over the holidays.

The newest Omicron subvariant of concern is XBB.1.5, and it has arrived in Southern California. This version of the coronavirus is more contagious and more resistant to existing immunity than any of its predecessors.

“It’s just the latest and greatest and most infectious variant,” said Paula Cannon, a virologist at USC. “It’s amazing to me that this virus keeps finding one more trick to make itself even more infectious, even more transmissible.”

Along with a related subvariant called XBB.1, XBB.1.5 is a combination of two different versions of the BA.2 subvariant of Omicron. Both parents are particularly good at binding to the ACE2 receptor — the part of the cell the virus’ spike protein attacks to initiate an infection — and their descendants seem to have inherited that talent.

In the final week of 2022, about 40.5% of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus specimens circulating in the U.S. were of the XBB.1.5 variety, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. It’s especially prevalent in the country’s Northeast, where it first surfaced in early November and now accounts for more than 72% of cases.

XBB.1.5 has so far made less of an impact in the region that includes California, Nevada, Arizona, Hawaii and the Pacific islands, where its coronavirus market share is 9.2%, according to the CDC. (It’s even less prevalent in mountain and Midwestern states from Utah to Ohio, Michigan and Minnesota.)

In Los Angeles County, as in most of the country, the BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 versions of Omicron still dominate, said Dr. Paul Simon, chief science officer for the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health.

Two weeks ago, XBB.1.5 accounted for about 5% of coronaviruses in the county, Simon said. But the county’s data lag real life by about two weeks, he said, and he expects to see a jump in XBB.1.5’s prevalence — and in the total number of coronavirus infections — in the last numbers of 2022.

“It’s predictable: After holidays, there’s a bump-up in cases,” Simon said. “We saw it after Thanksgiving. We’re expecting it’ll occur over the next few weeks.”

While it sounds repetitive to describe every up-and-coming new subvariant in superlative terms — more transmissible than ever before, now with unprecedented ability to evade immunity — that’s just evolution at work, said Dr. Tim Brewer, an infectious-disease physician and a professor of medicine and epidemiology at UCLA.

“The only way a new version of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is going to displace what’s already out there is that it has to have some competitive advantage,” Brewer said. “If it did not have a competitive advantage, it would not displace what’s already out there.”

And when it comes to survival of the fittest, XBB.1.5 has several things going for it.

“It’s almost like a triple threat,” Cannon said. It’s the most infectious subvariant to date. It dodges the immunity conveyed by a vaccine, booster shot or previous infection more effectively than other subvariants. And as was the case with the Delta and original Omicron variants, it emerged in late fall — just in time to proliferate during the frequent indoor gatherings of the holiday season.

XBB.1.5 isn’t just making its mark in the United States. It’s rapidly displacing other Omicron subvariants globally, the World Health Organization confirmed Wednesday.

“We do expect further waves of infection around the world,” said infectious-disease epidemiologist Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, the COVID-19 lead for the WHO Health Emergencies Program. “But that doesn’t have to translate into further waves of death because our countermeasures continue to work.”

Early data suggest XBB.1.5 and XBB.1 don’t appear to cause more serious disease than previous forms of the virus. There is also no indication that they respond differently than other subvariants to the drug Paxlovid, which reduces viral load when taken in the earliest days of the disease, Cannon said. (Like all the other subvariants currently in circulation, it does not respond to treatment with monoclonal antibodies.)

While the new strains’ characteristics make it more likely that fully vaccinated or previously infected people will test positive for an infection, the shots are still effective at preventing serious disease, Simon said.

Los Angeles County still has a lot of opportunity to weaken its transmission chains. Disappointingly few people have elected to get the new bivalent boosters, Simon said — only slightly more than one-third of people aged 65 and older and one-fifth of younger adults have rolled up their sleeves for shots that target Omicron along with the original version of the virus.

“If you’re elderly, immunocompromised or pregnant — if you’re in one of those groups, it is really, really important that you keep up with boosters,” said Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious-disease epidemiologist and senior fellow at the Kaiser Family Foundation.

“Yes, you personally may have moved on from COVID. Maybe you’re a young, healthy person who’s gotten their three shots,” she said. “But this is still holding back the economy. It is still having a big impact on healthcare institutions, which means the cost is being passed on to you as a consumer. … So there are reasons collectively that we should be trying to mitigate [this].”